Galatasaray vs Barcelona: Spread — Barcelona wins by more than 2.5 goals
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-15T19:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 7h ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-10-13T21:18:00
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Barcelona wins the Galatasaray vs Barcelona professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 by more than 2.5 goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded.
Form the evidence must take. unspecified. The rules do not specify a required medium or source; they only require that the result be determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Does not count.
- Goals scored in extra time
- Goals scored in a penalty shootout
- A Barcelona win by exactly 2 goals or fewer
- A result from any playing time other than 90 minutes plus stoppage time
Deadline. 2026-10-13
- after 90 minutes plus stoppage time — the score at the end of regulation play, including added time, but not including extra time or penalty shootout
- wins by more than 2.5 goals — Barcelona's goal margin must be greater than 2.5, meaning at least 3 goals, since soccer goals are whole numbers
- originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 — the match date used for the market is the game as originally scheduled on October 13, 2026
The venue's own resolution text, verbatim
If Barcelona wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Galatasaray vs Barcelona professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
What the sources establish
Barcelona defeated Galatasaray 4-1 on October 13, 2026, in the UEFA Champions League match at RAMS Park in Istanbul.
Multiple sources dated October 13, 2026 report that Barcelona won 4-1, giving a margin of 3 goals, which satisfies the requirement of winning by more than 2.5 goals in the originally scheduled match.
Sources it was read from · 6 cited
2 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 39m ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.