Bayern vs Manchester City
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-24T16:45 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 21d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-22T19:26:26
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Bayern wins the Bayern vs Manchester City professional Champions League Women's soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
Form the evidence must take. unspecified (no specific source or medium required by the rules; typical resolution uses official match results from the governing body)
Does not count.
- Extra time and penalties do not count toward the result
- A tie does not count as a Bayern win
- Game cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away (resolves to fair price instead of YES)
Deadline. Sep 22, 2026 (the originally scheduled game date; resolution occurs after the game ends)
- win — after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties)
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The Bayern Munich vs Manchester City Women's Champions League group-stage match was played on September 22, 2026, and ended in a 2-2 draw after Bayern led 2-0 before City equalized.
Multiple credible reports from the match date state the game ended 2-2, so Bayern did not win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. One contradictory 2-1 report appears unreliable and is outweighed by the consistent 2-2 reports.
Sources it was read from · 2 cited
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 19d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.