← Decided
Paris FC vs Arsenal
kalshi · open the market ↗
· closes 2026-10-02T16:45 · claim page
already no
high confidence
buy NO
price moved
98 → 8
in the last 48h
bid 0.080 / ask 0.090
8.0c residual
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence.
the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty:
13d ago
- Earliest cited source published:
2026-09-30T19:09:27
- Price as shown:
not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer.
The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the Paris FC vs Arsenal professional Champions League Women's soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Named authority. Governing League (named only in the disclaimer, not as a listed result authority)
Form the evidence must take. Unspecified; the rules do not name a particular publication, agency, or official record that must report the result, but the result must be the outcome of the specified game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Does not count.
- A win achieved only in extra time
- A win achieved only in a penalty shootout
- A tie result (resolves the separate 'Tie' market, not this market)
- A game cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away
Deadline. Original scheduled match date: 2026-09-30; game result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Arsenal wins — Arsenal wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties.
- tie — The game ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; in that case the market called 'Tie' resolves to Yes.
- cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away — The game is cancelled or moved to a date/time more than 48 hours from the originally scheduled start, triggering resolution to a fair price.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the
condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The match Paris FC vs Arsenal on 30 September 2026 ended in a 2-2 draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Multiple credible news sources report that the match ended in a 2-2 draw, not an Arsenal win, so the condition for a Yes resolution is not met.
Sources it was read from · 3 cited
¡Increíble! Paris FC resurge y empata contra Arsenal en la Women’s Champions League ↗
https://futbolizados.com/106646/increible-paris-fc-resurge-y-empata-contra-arsenal-en-la-womens-champions-league · 2026-10-01
Pese a un inicio complicado, el Paris FC logró una hazaña en la Women’s Champions League al rescatar un valioso punto ante el Arsenal, una de las potencias del fútbol femenino europeo. En un encuentro lleno de emociones, las parisinas lograron revertir un marcador adverso de 0-2 para finalizar en tablas 2-2. La primera parte […] La entrada ¡Increíble! Paris FC resurge y empata contra Arsenal en la Women’s Champions League se publicó primero en Futbolizados .
Arsenal Women throw away two-goal lead in dramatic Champions League draw ↗
https://arsenalnews.co.uk/2026/09/30/arsenal-women-throw-away-two-goal-lead-in-dramatic-champions-league-draw · 2026-09-30
Arsenal lost a two-goal lead to play out a 2-2 draw at Paris FC in their UEFA Women’s Champions League league phase fixture on Wednesday. The north London side beat HB Koge in their first game before losing to Chelsea in the Women’s Super League last weekend. Arsenal dominated possession from the outset, but Paris […] The post Arsenal Women throw away two-goal lead in dramatic Champions League draw first appeared on ArsenalNews.co.uk .
UEFA Women’s Champions League: Barcelona lays down marker, Arsenal slips up ↗
https://socceramerica.com/uefa-womens-champions-league-barcelona-lays-down-marker-arsenal-slips-up · 2026-09-30
Barcelona continued its emphatic start to its defense of the UEFA Women's Champions League title by brushing aside Roma 6-0 in the Italian capital, while a bizarre penalty incident caused Arsenal to let slip a two-goal lead at Paris FC. In another Anglo-French clash, Chelsea played to a 0-0 tie at record eight-time winner OL Lyonnes, which had come into the match with 30 goals in four games in 2026-27. The post UEFA Women’s Champions League: Barcelona lays down marker, Arsenal slips up appeared first on Soccer America .
5 retrieved but not cited
Women’s Champions League: Arsenal face Paris FC, Chelsea at Lyon ↗
Paris FC Women will face Arsenal Women in the Women’s Champions League at Stade Jean Bouin on Wednesday 30 September 2026. The match is scheduled to kick off at 5.45pm. The post Women’s Champions League: Arsenal face Paris FC, Chelsea at Lyon appeared first on Dispatch Times .
Paris FC Women vs Arsenal Women: UWCL Team News, H2H & Match Guide ↗
Arsenal Women travel to Stade Jean-Bouin to face Paris FC Women in a crucial UEFA Women's Champions League fixture. This preview covers team news, head-to-head stats, and a prediction for the upcoming match. The post Paris FC Women vs Arsenal Women: UWCL Team News, H2H & Match Guide appeared first o
Adjudicated 11d ago · retrieval: newsrag.
This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named
authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.