← Decided
Paris FC vs Arsenal — Tie
kalshi · open the market ↗
· closes 2026-10-02T16:45 · claim page
already yes
high confidence
buy YES
price moved
1 → 90
in the last 48h
bid 0.900 / ask 0.910
9.0c residual
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence.
the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty:
13d ago
- Earliest cited source published:
2026-09-30T19:09:27
- Price as shown:
not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer.
The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The Paris FC vs Arsenal professional Champions League Women's soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 30, 2026 ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Form the evidence must take. unspecified — the rules require only that 'Tie is the result' of the specified game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; they do not name who must publish or in what medium the result must be evidenced.
Does not count.
- A result determined by extra time
- A result determined by penalties
- A game that is cancelled
- A game rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original schedule
Deadline. Sep 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- Tie — the result of the Paris FC vs Arsenal professional Champions League Womens soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- does not include extra time or penalties — extra time and penalty shootout outcomes are not part of the result that determines a Tie
- cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away — a cancellation or rescheduling of the originally scheduled game to more than 48 hours away, in which case the market resolves to a fair price
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the
condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Paris FC vs Arsenal in the UEFA Women's Champions League, played on 30 September 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw after 90 minutes/stoppage time, with no extra time or penalties reported.
Multiple dated match reports confirm the specified game finished 2-2, which is a tie, and no cancellation or over-48-hour rescheduling occurred.
Sources it was read from · 2 cited
¡Increíble! Paris FC resurge y empata contra Arsenal en la Women’s Champions League ↗
https://futbolizados.com/106646/increible-paris-fc-resurge-y-empata-contra-arsenal-en-la-womens-champions-league · 2026-10-01
Pese a un inicio complicado, el Paris FC logró una hazaña en la Women’s Champions League al rescatar un valioso punto ante el Arsenal, una de las potencias del fútbol femenino europeo. En un encuentro lleno de emociones, las parisinas lograron revertir un marcador adverso de 0-2 para finalizar en tablas 2-2. La primera parte […] La entrada ¡Increíble! Paris FC resurge y empata contra Arsenal en la Women’s Champions League se publicó primero en Futbolizados .
Arsenal Women throw away two-goal lead in dramatic Champions League draw ↗
https://arsenalnews.co.uk/2026/09/30/arsenal-women-throw-away-two-goal-lead-in-dramatic-champions-league-draw · 2026-09-30
Arsenal lost a two-goal lead to play out a 2-2 draw at Paris FC in their UEFA Women’s Champions League league phase fixture on Wednesday. The north London side beat HB Koge in their first game before losing to Chelsea in the Women’s Super League last weekend. Arsenal dominated possession from the outset, but Paris […] The post Arsenal Women throw away two-goal lead in dramatic Champions League draw first appeared on ArsenalNews.co.uk .
5 retrieved but not cited
Women’s Champions League: Arsenal face Paris FC, Chelsea at Lyon ↗
Paris FC Women will face Arsenal Women in the Women’s Champions League at Stade Jean Bouin on Wednesday 30 September 2026. The match is scheduled to kick off at 5.45pm. The post Women’s Champions League: Arsenal face Paris FC, Chelsea at Lyon appeared first on Dispatch Times .
Paris FC Women vs Arsenal Women: UWCL Team News, H2H & Match Guide ↗
Arsenal Women travel to Stade Jean-Bouin to face Paris FC Women in a crucial UEFA Women's Champions League fixture. This preview covers team news, head-to-head stats, and a prediction for the upcoming match. The post Paris FC Women vs Arsenal Women: UWCL Team News, H2H & Match Guide appeared first o
Paris FC v Arsenal: Womens Champions League – live ↗
Key events 82 mins: Arsenal win a free kick in a dangerous spot, out wide on the right – but Smith's cross towards the far post is cleared away. 80 mins: Sandrine Soubeyrand makes her last two changes, with Mateo and Liaigre going off. Costa Rica's Sheika Scott and Manoly Baquerizo of Ecuador come
Adjudicated 11d ago · retrieval: newsrag.
This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named
authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.