Germany vs Serbia: Correct Score — Germany wins 2-0
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-04T00:45 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 12d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-10-02T16:56:14
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Germany wins 2-0 in the Germany vs Serbia professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Form the evidence must take. No specific publication or medium is specified by the rules; the score must be the official result of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and must not include extra time or penalties.
Does not count.
- Any score other than Germany 2-0 Serbia after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- Germany winning via extra time
- Germany winning via penalty shootout
- Goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
Deadline. 2026-10-01 (originally scheduled match date; resolution is based on that match's score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time)
- Germany wins 2-0 — Germany scores exactly 2 goals and Serbia scores exactly 0 goals at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- 90 minutes plus stoppage time — The regular playing time plus added time; expressly does not include extra time or penalties.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Germany defeated Serbia 2-0 in a UEFA Nations League match on October 1, 2026, at Allianz Arena in Munich.
Multiple credible news sources report that Germany beat Serbia 2-0 in the UEFA Nations League match on October 1, 2026, which matches the resolution condition exactly.
Sources it was read from · 4 cited
4 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 11d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.