Bulgaria vs Estonia: Total Goals — Over 0.5 goals scored
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-01T18:45 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 14d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-29T20:59:38
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Bulgaria vs Estonia: Total Goals — Over 0.5 goals scored
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Bulgaria vs Estonia match ended 0-0 on 2026-09-29
Source [1] directly reports the match ended 0-0, meaning total goals = 0, which is not over 0.5.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 12d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.