US active housing listings in September — Above 1,125,000 listings
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-01T10:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 13d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The first value published for the September 2026 observation of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED series 'Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States' (ACTLISCOUUS) is above 1,125,000 listings.
Named authority. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED series 'Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States' (ACTLISCOUUS)
Form the evidence must take. The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis must publish the initially reported value for the September 2026 observation of FRED series ACTLISCOUUS. The rules state: 'The Underlying is the first value published for the September 2026 observation' and 'Only the initially reported FRED value will be used; subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.'
Does not count.
- Any subsequent revised value of the September 2026 observation published by FRED after the initial release
- Active listing counts from sources other than the specified FRED series
- Values for months other than September 2026
- Estimates, forecasts, or news reports of the FRED value
Deadline. Upon first publication of the September 2026 observation of ACTLISCOUUS; no specific date given in the rules.
- The Underlying — The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED series 'Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States,' series ID ACTLISCOUUS.
- first value published — The initially reported FRED value for the September 2026 observation; subsequent revisions are ignored.
- September 2026 observation — The monthly observation for September 2026 in FRED series ACTLISCOUUS.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence in the supplied sources addresses the FRED series ACTLISCOUUS or any housing inventory count for September 2026. All sources are unrelated (obituaries, hog inventory, etc.).
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the first value published by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED for series ACTLISCOUUS for September 2026. None of the provided sources reference any FRED publication or housing inventory data for that month.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis publishing the initially reported value for the September 2026 observation of FRED series ACTLISCOUUS (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States).
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 13d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.