polyrag

← Decided

Average Get-In Price of the 2026 US Open Finals — Above $450

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-08T00:00 · claim page

undecided high confidence not the named source buy YES price moved 57 → 95 in the last 48h bid 0.950 / ask 0.960 4.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.

What the contract requires

Condition. The Average Get-In Price of the 2026 US Open Tennis Finals Tickets on TicketData is above $450 at 8:00PM ET on September 7th, 2026.

Named authority. TicketData

Form the evidence must take. The value must be published by TicketData at the specified time period. The rules state: 'based on the value published at the time period specified by the exchange.' The value must match the exact textual label for the price type. Revisions or corrections after the initial value do not count.

Does not count.

Deadline. 2026-09-07T20:00:00-04:00 (8:00PM ET September 7th, 2026)

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

Forbes reported on Aug 28, 2026 that men's and women's finals seats were listed at an average of $534 according to TicketData.com, but this is not the deadline value and is not a TicketData publication.

The deadline has not yet been reached, and no source shows TicketData's official published Average Get-In Price for the 2026 US Open Finals at 8:00PM ET on September 7, 2026. A Forbes article citing TicketData for a different date does not satisfy the contract's authority and timing requirements.

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the value to be published by TicketData at 8:00PM ET on September 7, 2026, under the exact label 'Average Get-In Price' for the 2026 US Open Finals. The available sources are news/aggregator paraphrases (Forbes, SeatData) and do not show TicketData's own published value at the specified deadline.

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

A TicketData page or official TicketData publication showing the 'Average Get-In Price' for the 2026 US Open Finals at 8:00PM ET on September 7, 2026 (or the last available value before that time if no exact-deadline value exists), with the value above $450 for 'already_yes' or at or below $450 for 'already_no'.

Sources it was read from · 1 cited

U.S. Open Ticket Prices Are Soaring Amid Questions Surrounding ... - Forbes ↗
https://www.forbes.com/sites/adamzagoria/2026/08/15/us-open-ticket-prices-are-soaring-amid-questions-surrounding-top-stars/
The average get-in price sits at $311 - compared to $262 at the same point in 2025 - with 15 days to go before the Open begins Aug. 30, according to TicketData.
7 retrieved but not cited
PDF US Open 2026 — Prices at a Glance - roadto45tennis.com ↗
The outer courts are the soul of the tournament. Some of the most memorable experiences at the US Open happen on Armstrong, Grandstand, and the field courts, where you can get remarkably close to world-class players and experience a level of intimacy that's impossible in a 24,000-seat stadium. Even
Us Open Tennis Ticket Price Tracker (Live Updates & Trends) | TicketData ↗
See real-time ticket prices, get-in price trends, and upcoming event info for Us Open Tennis. Find the cheapest tickets and live price updates on TicketData.
US Open Tennis 2026 Season Price Tracker - SeatData.io ↗
Track US Open Tennis ticket prices for 27 upcoming events. View get-in prices, demand trends, and price history. Free price tracking by SeatData.io.
Average Get-In Price of the 2026 US Open Finals Odds | Kalshi ↗
If the Average Get-In Price of the 2026 US Open Tennis Finals Tickets on TicketData is [outcome] at 8:00PM ET September 7th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
US Open Tennis 2026 Tickets - View Seats & Order Online ↗
Get Tickets for Any US Open Tennis Event & Go See It Live! Order Tickets Online Today. US Open Tennis 2026 Tickets at Arthur Ashe Stadium. Get Tickets Today.
Average Get-In Price of the 2026 US Open Finals - Coinbase ↗
If the Average Get-In Price of the 2026 US Open Tennis Finals Tickets on TicketData is above $475 at 8:00PM ET September 7th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the value published at the time period specified by the exchange. The value must match the exact textual l
US Open Tennis: Day Grounds Pass — Flushing, Sep 7 ↗
US Open Tennis: Day Grounds Pass at USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing on Monday, Sep 7, 2026. Track 30-day price history, current get-in $150, and get free alerts when prices drop.

Adjudicated 36d ago · retrieval: pg search. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.