← Decided
Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 1, 2026? — Above $91.49
kalshi · open the market ↗
· closes 2026-10-01T18:30 · claim page
undecided
low confidence
not the named source
buy YES
price moved
11 → 98
in the last 48h
bid 0.980 / ask 0.990
1.0c residual
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved.
the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty:
12d ago
- Earliest cited source published:
2026-09-29T13:24:22
- Price as shown:
not current — not adjudicated.
The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The daily settlement price for WTI crude oil (November 2026 contract) on October 01, 2026 is above 91.49 USD/Bbl.
Form the evidence must take. Publication by the specified source agency (not named in rules) of the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil (November 2026 contract) on October 01, 2026. The rules state: 'If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used.'
Does not count.
- Any settlement price not for the November 2026 WTI crude oil contract
- Any price that is not the official daily settlement price (e.g., intraday, closing bid/ask, or other contract months)
- Data published after October 01, 2026 unless no data was published on that date (then most recent available is used)
Deadline. 2026-10-01
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the
condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No source provides the official daily settlement price for the November 2026 WTI contract from the designated authority on October 1, 2026. The cited prices are likely intraday or generic quotes and do not meet the required form.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires.
The rules require publication by the specified source agency (likely CME/NYMEX) of the official daily settlement price for the November 2026 WTI contract on October 1, 2026. The provided sources only report intraday or approximate prices (e.g., $88.90, $90) without specifying contract month or confirming they are official settlement prices.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that
alone.
The named authority has not established this.
The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
Publication by CME/NYMEX (or the contract's named source) of the official daily settlement price for the November 2026 WTI crude oil contract on October 1, 2026, showing a value above or below $91.49.
Sources it was read from · 5 cited
Brent crude oil price for October: Will it crash to $80 or surge to $120? ↗
https://invezz.com/news/2026/10/01/brent-crude-oil-price-for-october-will-it-crash-to-80-or-surge-to-120 · 2026-10-01
Crude oil prices have pulled back in the past two weeks as investors focused on reports of the rising flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent dropped to $97.7, while the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) fell to $90, also as Saudi Arabia restarted the East-West pipeline. This article provides a forecast on whether prices will fall or rise in October. October to be crucial for Crude oil prices Brent and WTI prices pulled back as investors focused on reports of the rising flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Media reports suggest that millions of barrels are flowing, helped by the US military, which has continued providing escorts to tankers. A report by CNN showed that traffic through the Strait
Oil's New Normal Is Higher Prices ↗
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Oils-New-Normal-Is-Higher-Prices.html · 2026-09-30
Oil prices pulled back on Tuesday, reversing recent gains as investors weighed signs of export recovery by Middle Eastern producers against uncertainty surrounding the fate of the Iran war. Brent crude for November delivery fell 1.5% to trade at $103.72 per barrel at 1.10 pm ET, while WTI crude for October delivery declined 2.2% to change hands at $90.62/bbl. Crude exports from the region climbed to 15.5 million barrels per day in September, good for more than 80% of prewar levels and the highest level since the conflict began seven months ago.…
Global oil prices fall ↗
https://en.vestikavkaza.ru/news/Global-oil-prices-fall.html · 2026-10-01
This morning, Brent crude fell to $96.69 per barrel and WTI dropped to $88.90, while the price of Azeri Light rose to $112.29 per barrel.
Crude Oil Prices Drop After Monday’s Surge ↗
https://puoreports.ng/2026/09/29/crude-oil-prices-drop-after-mondays-surge · 2026-09-29
Global crude oil prices declined on Tuesday, September 29, 2026, following a sharp increase recorded on Monday amid renewed tensions between the United States and Iran. Market data showed that Brent crude and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) fell to $105 and $92 per barrel, respectively, after crude prices climbed as high as $107 per barrel […]
Malcy’s Blog – Oil price, Jersey Oil & Gas, Petro Matad & Finally ↗
https://share-talk.com/malcys-blog-oil-price-jersey-oil-gas-petro-matad-finally · 2026-09-29
WTI (Nov) $92.60 +19c, Brent (Nov) $105.28 +96c, Diff -$12.68 +77c. USNG (Nov)* $3.11 -1c, UKNG (Oct) 180.76 -3.99p, TTF (Nov) €72.3 -€1.95. Author @mgrahamwood *Denotes expiry of October contract. Read More...
3 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 12d ago · retrieval: newsrag.
This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named
authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.