Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 1, 2026? — Above $92.49

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-01T18:30 · claim page

undecided high confidence not the named source buy YES price moved 6 → 90 in the last 48h bid 0.900 / ask 0.910 9.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.

Price reached near-certainty: 12d ago
Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-30T00:00:00
Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.

What the contract requires

Condition. The daily settlement price of the November 2026 WTI crude oil contract on October 1, 2026 is above $92.49 per barrel.

Named authority. specified source agency (not explicitly named in rules, but implied to be the exchange publishing the daily settlement price)

Form the evidence must take. The daily settlement price as published by the specified source agency (the exchange, e.g., CME/NYMEX) for the November 2026 WTI contract on October 1, 2026. The rules state: 'If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used.' The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.

Does not count.

Settlement price exactly $92.49 (not above).
Settlement price from a different contract month (e.g., October 2026 or December 2026).
Data from a date other than October 1, 2026, unless no data is published for that date, in which case the most recently available published data is used.

Deadline. 2026-10-01

daily settlement price — The official settlement price for the contract as determined by the exchange on that trading day.
November 2026 contract — The WTI crude oil futures contract with delivery month November 2026, named after its delivery month per standard exchange symbology.
above $92.49 — Strictly greater than 92.49; equal does not count.

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

No evidence provides the official CME/NYMEX daily settlement price for the November 2026 WTI contract on October 1, 2026, so the condition cannot be confirmed as already met or not met.

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the daily settlement price as published by the exchange (CME/NYMEX) for the November 2026 WTI contract on October 1, 2026. None of the provided sources cite official exchange settlement data; they reference market prices or forecasts from news articles.

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

Official settlement price data from CME/NYMEX for the November 2026 WTI crude oil contract on October 1, 2026, showing a price strictly above $92.49 per barrel.

Sources it was read from · 3 cited

Brent crude oil price for October: Will it crash to $80 or surge to $120? ↗

https://invezz.com/news/2026/10/01/brent-crude-oil-price-for-october-will-it-crash-to-80-or-surge-to-120 · 2026-10-01

Crude oil prices have pulled back in the past two weeks as investors focused on reports of the rising flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent dropped to $97.7, while the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) fell to $90, also as Saudi Arabia restarted the East-West pipeline. This article provides a forecast on whether prices will fall or rise in October. October to be crucial for Crude oil prices Brent and WTI prices pulled back as investors focused on reports of the rising flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Media reports suggest that millions of barrels are flowing, helped by the US military, which has continued providing escorts to tankers. A report by CNN showed that traffic through the Strait

Oil's New Normal Is Higher Prices ↗

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Oils-New-Normal-Is-Higher-Prices.html · 2026-09-30

Oil prices pulled back on Tuesday, reversing recent gains as investors weighed signs of export recovery by Middle Eastern producers against uncertainty surrounding the fate of the Iran war. Brent crude for November delivery fell 1.5% to trade at $103.72 per barrel at 1.10 pm ET, while WTI crude for October delivery declined 2.2% to change hands at $90.62/bbl. Crude exports from the region climbed to 15.5 million barrels per day in September, good for more than 80% of prewar levels and the highest level since the conflict began seven months ago.…

Global oil prices fall ↗

https://en.vestikavkaza.ru/news/Global-oil-prices-fall.html · 2026-10-01

This morning, Brent crude fell to $96.69 per barrel and WTI dropped to $88.90, while the price of Azeri Light rose to $112.29 per barrel.

5 retrieved but not cited

¿Baja el precio de la gasolina el primer día de octubre? Lista de costos por estado ↗

Comienza un nuevo mes y con ello movimientos en el precio de la gasolina para hoy 1 de octubre 2026; consulta si es momento de llenar el tanque este jueves.

Crude Oil Prices Drop After Monday’s Surge ↗

Global crude oil prices declined on Tuesday, September 29, 2026, following a sharp increase recorded on Monday amid renewed tensions between the United States and Iran. Market data showed that Brent crude and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) fell to $105 and $92 per barrel, respectively, after crude pr

1.10.2026 ↗

October 1, 2026 ↗

10-01-2026 ↗

Adjudicated 12d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.