polyrag

← Decided

Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 2, 2026? — Above $90.49

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-02T18:30 · claim page

undecided high confidence not the named source buy YES price moved 7 → 93 in the last 48h bid 0.930 / ask 0.940 6.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.

What the contract requires

Condition. Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 2, 2026? — Above $90.49

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

Sources indicate WTI crude oil was trading above $92 on October 2, 2026, but the official settlement price for the day is not yet confirmed.

The market is still open and the final settlement price for WTI on October 2, 2026, has not been officially reported. While some sources show prices above $90.49, they are not authoritative and the price could change before the close.

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the official settlement price of WTI for October 2, 2026, as reported by a recognized authority (e.g., EIA or NYMEX). The available evidence consists of news articles reporting intraday prices, not the official closing price from the designated source.

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

The official settlement price of WTI crude oil for October 2, 2026, as published by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) or the CME Group (NYMEX), showing whether it is above or below $90.49.

Sources it was read from · 1 cited

Precio del petróleo hoy 2 de octubre de 2026: Brent y WTI en directo ↗
https://euribor.com.es/2026/10/02/precio-petroleo-hoy-2-octubre-2026 · 2026-10-02
Brent supera los 102$ y el WTI los 92$ tras el corte de exportaciones de combustible de China. Precio del petróleo hoy, 2 oct 2026
7 retrieved but not cited
Malcy’s Blog – Oil price, Jersey Oil & Gas, Petro Matad & Finally ↗
WTI (Nov) $92.60 +19c, Brent (Nov) $105.28 +96c, Diff -$12.68 +77c. USNG (Nov)* $3.11 -1c, UKNG (Oct) 180.76 -3.99p, TTF (Nov) €72.3 -€1.95. Author @mgrahamwood *Denotes expiry of October contract. Read More...
Oil Prices Rise Again, Brent Tops $106, WTI Nears $94 ↗
WASHINGTON: Concerns over potential disruptions to oil supplies from the Middle East outweighed signs of improving crude exports from the region, sending global oil prices higher for a second consecutive trading session. Brent crude futures rose $1.49, or 1.4%, to $106.77 a barrel in early trading o
Oil Price Forecasts Jump as Hormuz Disruption Drags On ↗
Analysts have sharply raised their 2026 oil price forecasts as hopes fade for a quick normalization of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, with a new Reuters poll putting Brent crude at an average of $89.05 per barrel this year, up from $85.08 just a month ago. The September survey of 30 economis
Brent Crude Oil Price Today (September 28): Brent Climbs Above $107, WTI Rises Near $95 as US-Iran Peace Talks Stall; Check Latest Brent Crude & WTI Oil Rates Today ↗
Brent Crude Oil Price Today: Brent crude futures were trading at $107.75 per barrel, up 3.29% or $3.43, according to Reuters. The rise came after US President Donald Trump rejected an Iranian peace proposal aimed at resolving the conflict and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. The post Brent Crude Oil
Global oil prices fall ↗
This morning, Brent crude fell to $96.69 per barrel and WTI dropped to $88.90, while the price of Azeri Light rose to $112.29 per barrel.
WTI Oil Price Polymarket Odds Show $95 Threshold at 67.5% ↗
WTI traders priced a 67.5% chance of reaching $95 on Polymarket after Trump rejected an Iranian Strait of Hormuz proposal on September 28. The post WTI Oil Price Polymarket Odds Show $95 Threshold at 67.5% appeared first on 99Bitcoins .

Adjudicated 11d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.