Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 2, 2026? — Above $90.99
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-02T18:30 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 11d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-29T11:35:17
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The daily settlement price of the WTI crude oil November 2026 futures contract on October 2, 2026 is above $90.99 per barrel.
Form the evidence must take. The official daily settlement price as published by the exchange (typically CME Group) for the November 2026 WTI crude oil futures contract on that date. The rules do not specify a source agency but refer to 'the specified source agency' without naming it; if no data is published, the most recently available published data is used. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.
Does not count.
- Prices from sources other than the exchange's official daily settlement (e.g., intraday prices, news estimates, or other data providers) do not count.
- If the November 2026 contract is not the nearest listed contract on October 2, 2026 due to rolling rules, the rules explicitly name the November 2026 contract, so rolling does not apply.
Deadline. 2026-10-02
- daily settlement price — The official closing price for the futures contract as determined by the exchange at the end of the trading day.
- WTI crude oil — West Texas Intermediate crude oil, a grade of crude oil used as a benchmark in oil pricing.
- November 2026 contract — The futures contract for delivery of WTI crude oil in November 2026, identified by standard exchange symbology (e.g., CLX26).
- above 90.99 USD/Bbl — A price greater than 90.99 US dollars per barrel.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The deadline is October 2, 2026, and the current time is before the market close. No evidence shows the official settlement price for that date. All sources refer to earlier dates or intraday estimates, not the required exchange-published settlement figure.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the official daily settlement price as published by the exchange (CME Group) for the November 2026 WTI crude oil futures contract on October 2, 2026. None of the provided sources contain that official settlement price; they only report intraday or prior-day prices from news outlets.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
The official daily settlement price for the November 2026 WTI crude oil futures contract (CLX26) as published by CME Group for October 2, 2026, showing a value above or below $90.99 per barrel.
Sources it was read from · 8 cited
Adjudicated 11d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.