← Decided
Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 8, 2026? — Above $90.49
kalshi · open the market ↗
· closes 2026-10-08T18:30 · claim page
undecided
low confidence
not the named source
buy YES
price moved
11 → 92
in the last 48h
bid 0.920 / ask 0.930
7.0c residual
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved.
the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty:
5d ago
- Earliest cited source published:
2026-10-04T18:27:43
- Price as shown:
not current — not adjudicated.
The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 8, 2026? — Above $90.49
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the
condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
None of the provided sources report the WTI price on October 8, 2026. The condition cannot be confirmed or denied without that specific price.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires.
The contract requires the WTI price on Oct 8, 2026, to be above $90.49. No source provides the actual WTI price for that date; the most recent price given is $90.24 on Oct 7 (source 8), which is below the threshold, but that is not the Oct 8 price.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that
alone.
The named authority has not established this.
The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A reliable source (e.g., NYMEX settlement data, EIA report, or major financial news outlet) stating the WTI crude oil price on October 8, 2026, and whether it is above $90.49.
Sources it was read from · 5 cited
Oil Price Update October 2026: Brent Leads, WTI Stalls ↗
https://oilgasstoragenews.com/oil-price-update-october-2026 · 2026-10-04
This oil price update for October 2026 has Brent at $102.25 a barrel, up 6.2% since 6 September, while WTI slipped 0.4% to $91.11, widening the Brent-WTI spread to $11.14. […]
Brent Crude Oil Price Today (October 6): Brent Hovers Near $100, WTI Trades Around $88 as Middle East Supply Outlook & Gulf Tensions Drive Crude Markets; Check Latest Brent Crude & WTI Oil Rates Today ↗
https://sundayguardianlive.com/business/brent-crude-oil-price-today-october-6-brent-hovers-near-100-wti-trades-around-88-as-middle-east-supply-outlook-gulf-tensions-drive-crude-markets-check-latest-brent-crude-wti-oil-rates-today-300060 · 2026-10-06
Brent Crude Oil Price Today (October 6): Brent crude has come under pressure as the outlook for Middle Eastern oil supply has improved. According to Reuters, Gulf oil flows excluding Iran recovered to more than 81% of pre-war levels in September, easing some immediate concerns about a severe supply shortage. The post Brent Crude Oil Price Today (October 6): Brent Hovers Near $100, WTI Trades Around $88 as Middle East Supply Outlook & Gulf Tensions Drive Crude Markets; Check Latest Brent Crude & WTI Oil Rates Today appeared first on The Sunday Guardian .
WTI Crude Oil futures rebound from 5-week lows as exports pressure prices. ↗
https://cmegroup.com/videos/2026/10/06/wti-crude-oil-futures-rebound-from-5-week-lows-as-exports-pressu.html · 2026-10-06
WTI Crude Oil futures rebounded from five-week lows as the market balanced shifting supply dynamics. The EIA raised its 2026 price forecast, lifting the WTI estimate by 4% to $88 a barrel amid rapidly falling inventories and tight diesel supplies. However, crude faced pressure from recovering Middle East exports, with shipping data showing 12 million barrels a day leaving the region and Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline returning to 5.8 million barrels in throughput.
Oil jumps above $101 as two supply threats collide: is $120 back in play? ↗
https://invezz.com/news/2026/10/07/oil-price-today-brent-120-forecast · 2026-10-07
Oil prices rose on Wednesday, with Brent climbing above $101 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate above $90 as traders priced two fresh supply risks: a developing Gulf of Mexico hurricane and renewed Saudi-Houthi tensions. Brent traded around $101.63 while WTI reached $90.24. The immediate question is whether the move represents another temporary geopolitical premium or the start of a larger advance. The US Energy Information Administration now forecasts Brent at about $105 in the fourth quarter, while $120 remains possible if Middle East disruptions turn into meaningful physical supply losses. Why are oil prices rising today? Oil is rising because traders are simultaneously pricing weather
3 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 5d ago · retrieval: newsrag.
This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named
authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.