Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026? — Above $94.49
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-09T18:30 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 34d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-09T03:34:45
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The daily settlement price for WTI crude oil (October 2026 contract) on September 9, 2026 is above $94.49 USD per barrel, rounded to the nearest two decimal places.
Form the evidence must take. The daily settlement price as officially published by the exchange (CME Group/NYMEX) for the October 2026 WTI crude oil futures contract (symbol CLV26) on September 9, 2026. The rules do not name a specific source agency but rely on the standard settlement data; if no data is published that day, the most recently available published data is used.
Does not count.
- Prices from any contract month other than October 2026 on September 9, 2026
- Any price not published as the daily settlement price (e.g., intraday prices, closing quotes not official)
- Data published after the specified date or from non‑standard sources
Deadline. 2026-09-09
- daily settlement price — the official settlement price determined by the exchange for the futures contract on that trading day
- WTI crude oil — West Texas Intermediate crude oil, the underlying for the futures contract
- October 2026 contract — the futures contract with delivery month October 2026, named after delivery month not expiration date
- rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places — the settlement value is taken to two decimal places as standard
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No source provides the official CME/NYMEX daily settlement price for the October 2026 WTI contract on September 9, 2026. The available reports reference intraday or approximate levels, which do not meet the contract's evidence requirement.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the official daily settlement price as published by CME Group/NYMEX for the October 2026 WTI futures contract (CLV26) on September 9, 2026. The provided sources are news articles and analyses that mention intraday or approximate prices (e.g., 'near $96', 'testing $94.44'), but none cite or reproduce the official exchange settlement data. Without that specific publication, the required form is not satisfied.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
Official CME Group settlement data for the October 2026 WTI crude oil futures contract (symbol CLV26) on September 9, 2026, showing the daily settlement price rounded to two decimal places, published by the exchange or a recognized data provider (e.g., CME website, Bloomberg, Reuters).
Sources it was read from · 2 cited
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 34d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.