Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 10, 2026? — Above $98.49
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-10T18:30 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 33d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-10T13:43:59
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The daily settlement price of the WTI crude oil October 2026 futures contract on September 10, 2026 is above 98.49 USD per barrel.
Named authority. unspecified in rules, but standard is CME Group (NYMEX)
Form the evidence must take. The official daily settlement price as published by the exchange (source agency) that reports WTI crude oil futures settlement prices. The rules specify 'published data' and 'settlement value rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places'. The source agency is not explicitly named in the rules but is implied to be the exchange listing the contract (e.g., CME Group/NYMEX).
Does not count.
- Any price other than the official daily settlement price of the October 2026 contract (e.g., intraday prices, closing prices of other contracts, or prices from non-official sources).
- Prices from other contract months even if they are the nearest listed contract month on that date.
Deadline. 2026-09-10
- daily settlement price — The official closing price determined by the exchange for the contract on a given trading day.
- WTI crude oil — West Texas Intermediate crude oil, a grade of crude oil used as a benchmark in oil pricing.
- October 2026 contract — The futures contract for delivery of WTI crude oil in October 2026, named after the delivery month.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
All evidence is from news outlets or analysis sites reporting intraday or approximate prices; none cite the official CME/NYMEX settlement price for the October 2026 contract on September 10, 2026. The deadline (market close at 18:30 UTC) has not yet passed, so the official settlement is not available.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the official daily settlement price of the WTI crude oil October 2026 futures contract as published by the exchange (CME Group/NYMEX). The provided sources report intraday prices, market commentary, or prices from non-official sources like TradingView. No source shows the official settlement price from the exchange.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
The official daily settlement price for WTI crude oil October 2026 futures as published by CME Group (NYMEX) on September 10, 2026, showing a price above or below $98.49.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 33d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.