Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 10, 2026? — Above $98.99
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-10T18:30 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 33d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The market resolves Yes if the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil (October 2026 contract) on September 10, 2026 is above 98.99 USD/Bbl, after the settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.
Named authority. Unspecified in the provided rules; the rules refer only to 'the specified source agency' without naming it
Form the evidence must take. The evidence must be the published daily settlement price for WTI crude oil (October 2026 contract) for September 10, 2026. The rules refer to a 'specified source agency' but do not name it; if no data is published by that source for that date, 'the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.'
Does not count.
- Intraday prices, bids, offers, or closing prices other than the official daily settlement price.
- A settlement price exactly equal to 98.99 USD/Bbl.
- Settlement data for a contract month other than the October 2026 WTI contract.
- Data published for a different date if September 10, 2026 data is available from the source agency.
Deadline. 2026-09-10
- daily settlement price — The official daily settlement price for WTI crude oil futures as published by the relevant exchange/source agency.
- above 98.99 USD/Bbl — Strictly greater than 98.99 after rounding the settlement value to the nearest 2 decimal places; exactly 98.99 does not count.
- October 2026 contract — The WTI crude oil futures contract named after its delivery month, October 2026, not its expiration date.
- nearest listed contract month — The current active contract determined by the roll rule: rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current contract's last trading day.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
News reports on September 10, 2026 state that WTI crude oil surpassed $100 per barrel intraday, while other same-day sources show WTI around $97.49–$97.79; no source provides the official daily settlement price for the October 2026 WTI contract on September 10, 2026.
Neither the official daily settlement price for the October 2026 WTI contract nor a named authority's published figure for September 10, 2026 has been produced
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the published official daily settlement price for WTI crude oil (October 2026 contract) on September 10, 2026. The evidence consists only of news articles and intraday price comments, not an official settlement price from the unspecified source agency, and the contract month is not identified.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 33d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.