Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 10, 2026? — Above $99.49
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-10T18:30 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 33d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-10T16:57:50
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The daily settlement price for the WTI crude oil October 2026 contract on September 10, 2026 is above 99.49 USD/Bbl.
Form the evidence must take. The daily settlement price as published by the relevant exchange (official source such as CME Group) for the October 2026 WTI contract on September 10, 2026, rounded to two decimal places. The rules state: 'If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used.' The source agency is not explicitly named in the provided rules.
Does not count.
- Prices from sources other than the official exchange settlement (e.g., spot market, estimates, news articles) do not count unless no official data is published.
- Prices for other contract months (e.g., September 2026 or November 2026) are not considered.
Deadline. 2026-09-10
- daily settlement price — The official settlement price for the WTI crude oil futures contract as determined by the exchange.
- October 2026 contract — The futures contract with delivery month October 2026, which is the nearest listed contract month on September 10, 2026, per the rolling rule: the active month switches 2 business days before the current contract's last trading day.
- nearest listed contract month — The contract with the earliest delivery date that is still trading, subject to the rolling rule.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The current time is before the market close (18:30Z) and no official CME settlement price for October 2026 WTI on September 10, 2026, has been published or cited in the evidence.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the official daily settlement price as published by the relevant exchange (CME Group) for the October 2026 WTI contract. The provided sources contain only intraday or estimated prices from news outlets, not the official CME settlement publication.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
The official daily settlement price for the WTI October 2026 contract as published by CME Group on September 10, 2026, showing a value above or below $99.49.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 33d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.