Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 10, 2026? — Above $99.99
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-10T18:30 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 33d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-10T16:15:36
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The daily settlement price for WTI crude oil (October 2026 contract) on September 10, 2026 is above 99.99 USD/Bbl.
Form the evidence must take. The daily settlement price as published by the specified source agency (implied to be the exchange listing the contract, e.g., CME/NYMEX) for the October 2026 WTI crude oil futures contract on September 10, 2026. The rules state: 'If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.' The source agency is not explicitly named in the provided rules, but the standard for WTI crude oil futures is CME Group. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.
Does not count.
- Prices from any contract month other than the October 2026 contract on September 10, 2026.
- Prices that are not the official daily settlement price (e.g., intraday prices, closing quotes, or estimates).
- Data published after September 10, 2026, unless no data was published on that date, in which case the most recently available data is used.
Deadline. 2026-09-10
- daily settlement price — The official settlement price determined by the exchange for the futures contract on that trading day.
- WTI crude oil — West Texas Intermediate crude oil, a grade of crude oil used as a benchmark in oil pricing.
- October 2026 contract — The futures contract for delivery of WTI crude oil in October 2026, named after the delivery month.
- nearest listed contract month — The contract with the closest delivery month that is actively traded, with a rollover rule: 'rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current contract's last trading day.'
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Multiple news reports on September 10, 2026 indicate that WTI crude oil (October 2026 contract) traded above $100 during the day, with intraday quotes ranging from $100.10 to $101.48.
None of the sources cite the official CME settlement price; they only report intraday or trading levels. The deadline has not yet passed (current time 18:06 UTC, deadline 18:30 UTC), and the official settlement may not be published yet.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the official daily settlement price published by the exchange (CME/NYMEX) for the October 2026 WTI contract on September 10, 2026. The provided sources are news articles reporting intraday or trading prices, not the official settlement publication.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
The official CME/NYMEX daily settlement price for the October 2026 WTI crude oil futures contract on September 10, 2026, published by CME Group.
Sources it was read from · 3 cited
5 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 33d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.