Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 24, 2026? — Above $94.49
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-24T18:30 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 19d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-24T16:18:00
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Named authority. CME Group (NYMEX)
Form the evidence must take. The daily settlement price as published by the official exchange (CME Group for NYMEX WTI crude oil futures). The rules state: 'If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used.' The specified source agency is not explicitly named in the rules, but by standard practice it is the exchange that lists the contract (CME Group).
Does not count.
- Settlement prices from non-official sources (e.g., news estimates, third-party aggregators) unless they match the official exchange data.
- Any price from a contract month other than the one determined by the rolling rule.
Deadline. 2026-09-24
- daily settlement price — The official settlement price published by the exchange for the specified futures contract on a given trading day.
- nearest listed contract month — The contract month that is closest to expiration, with rolling to the next contract occurring 2 business days before the current contract's last trading day.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
A news article reports WTI November futures at $96.44 on Sep 24, 2026, but this is not the official settlement price.
The only source mentioning a WTI price on Sep 24 is a news article, which is not the required authority (CME Group). The official settlement price has not been provided, so the condition cannot be confirmed as met.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the daily settlement price as published by CME Group (NYMEX). The evidence is a news report, not the official exchange data.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
CME Group publishing the official settlement price for the November 2026 WTI contract on Sep 24, 2026, showing a value above $94.49.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 19d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.