polyrag

Lifecycle feed

Both venues' summary feeds are swept every few minutes and diffed against the stored catalogue. What comes out is not a price tape — it is the events a reader can act on: a market listed, a book waking up, a real move, a spike against the market's own baseline. Last sweep 6m ago, 41491 contracts.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24566 Economics 5477 Crypto 5320 Politics 2624 Commodities 2479 Financials 2273 Climate and Weather 1640 Entertainment 468 Science and Technology 266 Mentions 143

all listed price move volume spike book opened resolved closed 1h · 6h · 24h · 72h

wheneventmarketsizevenue
6m ago volume spike 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Gavin Newsom ↗ Elections $106.5k vs $213 baseline $1.5M kalshi
6m ago volume spike 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Gretchen Whitmer ↗ Elections $4.6k vs $4 baseline $27.5k kalshi
6m ago volume spike 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Raphael Warnock ↗ Elections $5.5k vs $24 baseline $163.8k kalshi
6m ago price move 2028 Presidential matchup — AOC v. JD Vance ↗ Elections 0.1055 → 0.14 $4.9k kalshi
6m ago volume spike 2028 Presidential matchup — AOC v. JD Vance ↗ Elections $2.1k vs $0 baseline $4.9k kalshi
6m ago price move Alaska Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 340K ↗ Elections 0.165 → 0.215 $0 kalshi
6m ago price move Alaska Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 350K ↗ Elections 0.135 → 0.175 $19 kalshi
6m ago price move Alaska Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 360K ↗ Elections 0.105 → 0.135 $0 kalshi
6m ago price move Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 1+ pts ↗ Elections 0.605 → 0.505 $45.8k kalshi
6m ago price move Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 2+ pts ↗ Elections 0.49 → 0.325 $804 kalshi
6m ago price move Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 3+ pts ↗ Elections 0.385 → 0.255 $64.3k kalshi
6m ago price move Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 4+ pts ↗ Elections 0.315 → 0.255 $2.5k kalshi
6m ago price move Tarrant County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent — At least 52% ↗ Elections 0.445 → 0.565 $154 kalshi
6m ago price move Which ballot measures will pass in Idaho? — Drug Legalization Authority Amendment ↗ Elections 0.315 → 0.46 $1.9k kalshi
6m ago price move How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms? — Above 40 ↗ Elections 0.9 → 0.645 $5.7k kalshi
6m ago price move How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms? — Above 60 ↗ Elections 0.355 → 0.42 $107 kalshi
6m ago volume spike Which party will win the U.S. Senate? — Republican Party ↗ Elections $81.6k vs $455 baseline $3.0M kalshi
6m ago volume spike Texas Governor winner? — Gina Hinojosa ↗ Elections $15.1k vs $43 baseline $297.4k kalshi
6m ago volume spike Florida Governor winner? — Byron Donalds ↗ Elections $18.7k vs $224 baseline $1.5M kalshi
6m ago book opened AZ-08 House election: Abraham Hamadeh vote percent — At least 62% ↗ Elections $166 kalshi
6m ago price move Which Senate races will be within 5 points? — Texas ↗ Elections 0.73 → 0.59 $2.0k kalshi
6m ago price move Which Senate races will be within 5 points? — Maine ↗ Elections 0.605 → 0.655 $837 kalshi
6m ago price move Which Senate races will be within 5 points? — Kansas ↗ Elections 0.615 → 0.48 $1.8k kalshi
6m ago price move Which Senate races will be within 5 points? — Michigan ↗ Elections 0.68 → 0.535 $1.1k kalshi
6m ago price move Which Senate races will be within 5 points? — Florida (special) ↗ Elections 0.325 → 0.445 $742 kalshi
6m ago price move Which Senate races will be within 5 points? — New Hampshire ↗ Elections 0.265 → 0.435 $182 kalshi
16m ago volume spike 2028 Republican presidential nominee — J.D. Vance ↗ Elections $46.3k vs $299 baseline $2.0M kalshi
16m ago volume spike 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Jon Ossoff ↗ Elections $87.8k vs $189 baseline $1.2M kalshi
16m ago price move Iowa Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 1.28M ↗ Elections 0.36 → 0.305 $76 kalshi
16m ago volume spike Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 1+ pts ↗ Elections $7.1k vs $7 baseline $45.8k kalshi
16m ago price move New Jersey Senate margin of victory — Booker, 21+ pts ↗ Elections 0.385 → 0.515 $1.3k kalshi
16m ago volume spike Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 3+ pts ↗ Elections $3.6k vs $5 baseline $38.1k kalshi
16m ago price move California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No) — No, ≥4% ↗ Elections 0.555 → 0.395 $1.4k kalshi
16m ago price move California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No) — No, ≥7% ↗ Elections 0.325 → 0.245 $315 kalshi
16m ago price move Tarrant County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent — At least 52% ↗ Elections 0.565 → 0.445 $154 kalshi
16m ago price move How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms? — Above 55 ↗ Elections 0.56 → 0.485 $623 kalshi
16m ago volume spike Florida Governor winner? — David Jolly ↗ Elections $11.4k vs $35 baseline $239.7k kalshi
16m ago volume spike Texas Senate winner? — James Talarico ↗ Elections $5.1k vs $978 baseline $6.4M kalshi
16m ago volume spike Michigan Senate winner? — Abdul El-Sayed ↗ Elections $27.4k vs $281 baseline $1.9M kalshi
16m ago volume spike Florida Senate winner? — Ashley Moody ↗ Elections $5.5k vs $61 baseline $403.5k kalshi
16m ago price move Maine Senate election: Susan Collins vote percent (1st Round) — At least 46% ↗ Elections 0.765 → 0.695 $547 kalshi
16m ago volume spike New York Governor winner? — Kathy Hochul ↗ Elections $3.4k vs $78 baseline $505.2k kalshi
16m ago volume spike New York Governor winner? — Bruce Blakeman ↗ Elections $2.1k vs $18 baseline $122.4k kalshi
16m ago volume spike Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? — Delcy Rodríguez ↗ Elections $41.6k vs $47 baseline $346.9k kalshi
26m ago volume spike 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Gavin Newsom ↗ Elections $4.6k vs $68 baseline $449.1k kalshi
26m ago price move North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 4.10M ↗ Elections 0.265 → 0.215 $94 kalshi
26m ago price move Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 5.60M ↗ Elections 0.28 → 0.22 $746 kalshi
26m ago price move Iowa Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 1.28M ↗ Elections 0.5 → 0.36 $76 kalshi
26m ago price move New Jersey Senate margin of victory — Booker, 21+ pts ↗ Elections 0.515 → 0.385 $1.3k kalshi
26m ago volume spike Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 5+ pts ↗ Elections $3.4k vs $3 baseline $26.1k kalshi
26m ago price move California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No) — No, ≥1% ↗ Elections 0.555 → 0.365 $3.9k kalshi
26m ago price move California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No) — No, ≥22% ↗ Elections 0.135 → 0.075 $468 kalshi
26m ago price move Webb County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent — At least 62% ↗ Elections 0.785 → 0.725 $450 kalshi
26m ago price move Tarrant County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent — At least 52% ↗ Elections 0.445 → 0.565 $154 kalshi
26m ago price move Orange County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent — At least 52% ↗ Elections 0.725 → 0.575 $0 kalshi
26m ago volume spike How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 46 ↗ Elections $2.6k vs $2 baseline $14.2k kalshi
26m ago volume spike How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 198-202 ↗ Elections $2.3k vs $6 baseline $38.6k kalshi
26m ago price move California Superintendent of Public Instruction winner? — Sonja Shaw ↗ Elections 0.135 → 0.2 $334 kalshi
26m ago volume spike Ohio Senate winner? — Jon Husted ↗ Elections $33.2k vs $204 baseline $1.3M kalshi
26m ago volume spike Ohio Senate winner? — Sherrod Brown ↗ Elections $34.3k vs $311 baseline $2.1M kalshi
26m ago volume spike New Hampshire Senate winner? — John E. Sununu ↗ Elections $13.6k vs $21 baseline $136.1k kalshi
26m ago volume spike CA-22 House winner? — David Valadao ↗ Elections $3.5k vs $1 baseline $10.5k kalshi
26m ago price move NY-15 House election: Andre Easton vote percent — At least 2% ↗ Elections 0.415 → 0.51 $72 kalshi
26m ago volume spike Alaska Senate winner? (Person) — Mary Peltola ↗ Elections $2.0k vs $23 baseline $151.4k kalshi
36m ago volume spike 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Marco Rubio ↗ Elections $5.6k vs $79 baseline $516.4k kalshi
36m ago volume spike 2028 Republican presidential nominee — Donald J. Trump Jr. ↗ Elections $3.0k vs $12 baseline $83.0k kalshi
36m ago price move Tennessee Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 1.82M ↗ Elections 0.42 → 0.295 $11 kalshi
36m ago price move Iowa Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 1.28M ↗ Elections 0.305 → 0.5 $76 kalshi
36m ago book opened Minnesota's 6th District margin of victory — Emmer, 4+ pts ↗ Elections $343 kalshi
36m ago price move California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes) — Yes, ≥10% ↗ Elections 0.1 → 0.185 $135 kalshi
36m ago price move California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No) — No, ≥1% ↗ Elections 0.675 → 0.555 $3.9k kalshi
36m ago volume spike Maine-Texas Senate Combo — Ken Paxton and Susan Collins ↗ Elections $5.2k vs $22 baseline $150.6k kalshi
36m ago price move Which ballot measures will pass in Idaho? — Drug Legalization Authority Amendment ↗ Elections 0.095 → 0.31 $1.9k kalshi
36m ago price move How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026? — At least 19 ↗ Elections 0.84 → 0.9 $755 kalshi
36m ago volume spike How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — Above 52 ↗ Elections $13.3k vs $72 baseline $465.9k kalshi
36m ago volume spike 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? — R-House, D-Senate ↗ Elections $11.6k vs $12 baseline $92.9k kalshi
36m ago volume spike Which party will win the U.S. Senate? — Democratic Party ↗ Elections $64.7k vs $604 baseline $4.0M kalshi
36m ago volume spike Which party will win the U.S. House? — Democratic Party ↗ Elections $19.1k vs $2.6k baseline $17.2M kalshi
36m ago volume spike Georgia Governor winner? — Rick Jackson ↗ Elections $7.4k vs $61 baseline $405.9k kalshi
36m ago volume spike Texas Senate winner? — James Talarico ↗ Elections $99.8k vs $978 baseline $6.4M kalshi
36m ago volume spike North Carolina Senate winner? — Michael Whatley ↗ Elections $16.5k vs $11 baseline $90.6k kalshi
36m ago volume spike Minnesota Senate winner? — Michele Tafoya ↗ Elections $13.5k vs $27 baseline $189.5k kalshi
36m ago volume spike Maine Senate winner? — Troy Jackson ↗ Elections $41.9k vs $361 baseline $2.4M kalshi
36m ago volume spike Kansas Senate winner? — Adam Hamilton ↗ Elections $20.5k vs $113 baseline $756.5k kalshi
36m ago volume spike Michigan Governor winner? — Jocelyn Benson ↗ Elections $4.9k vs $12 baseline $85.0k kalshi
36m ago price move Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 3rd place? — HDZ coalition ↗ Elections 0.16 → 0.095 $791 kalshi
36m ago volume spike Michigan Senate winner? (Person) — Abdul El-Sayed ↗ Elections $9.7k vs $99 baseline $655.9k kalshi
36m ago volume spike Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass? — In 2026 ↗ Elections $16.2k vs $67 baseline $436.0k kalshi
36m ago price move Will Treg Taylor drop out? — Yes ↗ Elections 0.41 → 0.1 $0 kalshi
36m ago price move Will Dave Bronson drop out? — Yes ↗ Elections 0.41 → 0.06 $0 kalshi
46m ago volume spike 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Andy Beshear ↗ Elections $6.5k vs $49 baseline $323.4k kalshi
46m ago volume spike 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Jon Ossoff ↗ Elections $87.5k vs $215 baseline $1.2M kalshi
46m ago price move Philippine House winner? — PFP ↗ Elections 0.6065 → 0.47 $835 kalshi
46m ago price move Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 11.80M ↗ Elections 0.13 → 0.165 $66 kalshi
46m ago book opened Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 12.90M ↗ Elections $4 kalshi
46m ago price move North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 3.40M ↗ Elections 0.545 → 0.925 $0 kalshi
46m ago price move North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 3.60M ↗ Elections 0.575 → 0.845 $0 kalshi
46m ago price move North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 3.80M ↗ Elections 0.875 → 0.775 $2.7k kalshi
46m ago price move North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 3.90M ↗ Elections 0.445 → 0.635 $628 kalshi
46m ago price move North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 4.10M ↗ Elections 0.215 → 0.265 $94 kalshi
46m ago price move North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 4.30M ↗ Elections 0.175 → 0.265 $110 kalshi
46m ago price move North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 4.70M ↗ Elections 0.15 → 0.11 $51 kalshi
46m ago price move North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 4.90M ↗ Elections 0.17 → 0.095 $19 kalshi
46m ago price move Iowa Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 1.28M ↗ Elections 0.53 → 0.305 $76 kalshi
46m ago price move Georgia Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 4.70M ↗ Elections 0.185 → 0.255 $55 kalshi
46m ago price move Georgia Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 4.90M ↗ Elections 0.115 → 0.155 $0 kalshi
46m ago price move Rhode Island Governor margin of victory — Foulkes, 7+ pts ↗ Elections 0.49 → 0.937 $559 kalshi
46m ago price move Rhode Island Governor margin of victory — Foulkes, 13+ pts ↗ Elections 0.4035 → 0.76 $760 kalshi
46m ago price move Rhode Island Governor margin of victory — Foulkes, 16+ pts ↗ Elections 0.3425 → 0.64 $724 kalshi
46m ago price move Rhode Island Governor margin of victory — Foulkes, 19+ pts ↗ Elections 0.345 → 0.49 $818 kalshi
46m ago price move Rhode Island Governor margin of victory — Foulkes, 22+ pts ↗ Elections 0.565 → 0.355 $2 kalshi
46m ago price move Rhode Island Governor margin of victory — Foulkes, 25+ pts ↗ Elections 0.29 → 0.225 $84 kalshi
46m ago book opened Rhode Island Governor margin of victory — Foulkes, 28+ pts ↗ Elections $0 kalshi
46m ago book opened Rhode Island Governor margin of victory — Foulkes, 31+ pts ↗ Elections $0 kalshi
46m ago price move How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026? — At least 19 ↗ Elections 0.9 → 0.84 $755 kalshi
46m ago price move Chicago Mayor winner? — Susana Mendoza ↗ Elections 0.123 → 0.155 $4.8k kalshi
46m ago volume spike Ohio Governor winner? — Amy Acton ↗ Elections $10.9k vs $113 baseline $744.6k kalshi
46m ago volume spike Massachusetts Governor winner? — Mike Minogue ↗ Elections $5.4k vs $6 baseline $46.1k kalshi
46m ago volume spike Iowa Senate winner? — Josh Turek ↗ Elections $26.2k vs $161 baseline $1.1M kalshi
46m ago price move Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 3rd place? — HDZ coalition ↗ Elections 0.07 → 0.16 $791 kalshi
46m ago price move Kamloops mayoral election winner? — Mike O'Reilly ↗ Elections 0.655 → 0.715 $637 kalshi
46m ago price move Will Treg Taylor drop out? — Yes ↗ Elections 0.5 → 0.41 $0 kalshi
46m ago price move Will Dave Bronson drop out? — Yes ↗ Elections 0.495 → 0.41 $0 kalshi
56m ago volume spike 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — J.D. Vance ↗ Elections $44.3k vs $136 baseline $930.2k kalshi
56m ago price move Philippine House winner? — PFP ↗ Elections 0.46 → 0.6065 $835 kalshi
56m ago price move Tennessee Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 1.82M ↗ Elections 0.245 → 0.42 $11 kalshi
56m ago price move North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 3.40M ↗ Elections 0.84 → 0.545 $0 kalshi
56m ago price move North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 3.90M ↗ Elections 0.545 → 0.445 $628 kalshi
56m ago price move Iowa Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 1.28M ↗ Elections 0.305 → 0.53 $76 kalshi
56m ago price move Rhode Island Governor margin of victory — Foulkes, 16+ pts ↗ Elections 0.42 → 0.3425 $724 kalshi
56m ago book opened Rhode Island's 2nd District margin of victory — Magaziner, 10+ pts ↗ Elections $0 kalshi
56m ago book opened Oregon's 6th District margin of victory — Salinas, 7+ pts ↗ Elections $0 kalshi
56m ago price move New Jersey Senate margin of victory — Booker, 21+ pts ↗ Elections 0.345 → 0.515 $1.3k kalshi
56m ago book opened Missouri's 4th District margin of victory — Republicans, 8+ pts ↗ Elections $61 kalshi
56m ago book opened Missouri's 4th District margin of victory — Republicans, 14+ pts ↗ Elections $684 kalshi
56m ago book opened Colorado Governor margin of victory — Weiser, 3+ pts ↗ Elections $11 kalshi
56m ago price move Genesee County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent — At least 52% ↗ Elections 0.855 → 0.795 $2.0k kalshi
56m ago price move Orange County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent — At least 52% ↗ Elections 0.575 → 0.75 $0 kalshi
56m ago price move How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026? — At least 19 ↗ Elections 0.84 → 0.9 $755 kalshi
56m ago volume spike 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? — Republicans sweep ↗ Elections $9.4k vs $303 baseline $2.0M kalshi
56m ago volume spike Iowa Governor winner? — Zach Lahn ↗ Elections $9.4k vs $16 baseline $112.5k kalshi
56m ago volume spike Georgia Governor winner? — Keisha Lance Bottoms ↗ Elections $6.4k vs $44 baseline $291.8k kalshi
56m ago volume spike FL-14 House winner? — Kathy Castor ↗ Elections $2.1k vs $22 baseline $142.1k kalshi
56m ago volume spike Tennessee Senate winner? — Marquita Bradshaw ↗ Elections $2.3k vs $2 baseline $13.3k kalshi
56m ago volume spike New York Governor winner? — Bruce Blakeman ↗ Elections $4.3k vs $18 baseline $122.4k kalshi
56m ago price move Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 3rd place? — HDZ coalition ↗ Elections 0.185 → 0.07 $791 kalshi
56m ago volume spike CA-11 House winner? — Scott Wiener ↗ Elections $6.1k vs $12 baseline $84.6k kalshi
56m ago listed Will Treg Taylor drop out? — Yes ↗ Elections closes 2026-11-03 $0 kalshi
56m ago listed Will Dave Bronson drop out? — Yes ↗ Elections closes 2026-11-03 $0 kalshi
1h ago volume spike 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Zohran Mamdani ↗ Elections $9.6k vs $1 baseline $19.3k kalshi
1h ago volume spike 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Tim Walz ↗ Elections $3.4k vs $1 baseline $6.7k kalshi
1h ago volume spike 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Michelle Obama ↗ Elections $37.5k vs $19 baseline $163.9k kalshi
1h ago volume spike 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Stephen A. Smith ↗ Elections $6.6k vs $3 baseline $26.6k kalshi
1h ago volume spike 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Hillary Clinton ↗ Elections $3.2k vs $0 baseline $6.3k kalshi
1h ago volume spike 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Jon Ossoff ↗ Elections $179.8k vs $188 baseline $1.2M kalshi
1h ago price move North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 3.40M ↗ Elections 0.915 → 0.84 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 3.60M ↗ Elections 0.835 → 0.61 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 3.80M ↗ Elections 0.775 → 0.875 $2.7k kalshi
1h ago price move North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 3.90M ↗ Elections 0.655 → 0.545 $628 kalshi
1h ago price move North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 4.30M ↗ Elections 0.27 → 0.18 $110 kalshi
1h ago price move North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 4.50M ↗ Elections 0.245 → 0.18 $163 kalshi
1h ago price move North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 4.90M ↗ Elections 0.11 → 0.175 $19 kalshi
1h ago price move New Jersey Senate margin of victory — Booker, 21+ pts ↗ Elections 0.515 → 0.345 $1.3k kalshi
1h ago price move Webb County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent — At least 62% ↗ Elections 0.725 → 0.8 $450 kalshi
1h ago price move Tarrant County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent — At least 52% ↗ Elections 0.565 → 0.46 $154 kalshi
1h ago price move Genesee County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent — At least 52% ↗ Elections 0.795 → 0.855 $2.0k kalshi
1h ago price move Orange County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent — At least 52% ↗ Elections 0.75 → 0.575 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move Minas Gerais: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff) — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥13% ↗ Elections 0.105 → 0.04 $51 kalshi
1h ago volume spike 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? — Democrats sweep ↗ Elections $49.8k vs $458 baseline $3.0M kalshi
1h ago volume spike 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? — D-House, R-Senate ↗ Elections $41.3k vs $184 baseline $1.2M kalshi
1h ago volume spike Which party will win the U.S. Senate? — Democratic Party ↗ Elections $64.4k vs $604 baseline $4.0M kalshi
1h ago volume spike Kansas Senate winner? — Adam Hamilton ↗ Elections $20.7k vs $113 baseline $756.5k kalshi
1h ago price move Texas Senate election: James Talarico vote percent — At least 52% ↗ Elections 0.415 → 0.485 $124 kalshi
1h ago book opened Vermont Governor election: Amanda Janoo vote percent — At least 39% ↗ Elections $0 kalshi
1h ago volume spike Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? — Donald Trump ↗ Elections $3.3k vs $0 baseline $6.6k kalshi
1h ago price move Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 3rd place? — HDZ coalition ↗ Elections 0.075 → 0.185 $791 kalshi
1h ago volume spike Brazil Presidential election winner? — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ↗ Elections $57.6k vs $57 baseline $402.6k kalshi
1h ago volume spike 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Gavin Newsom ↗ Elections $9.2k vs $67 baseline $449.1k kalshi
1h ago volume spike 2028 Republican presidential nominee — J.D. Vance ↗ Elections $46.3k vs $299 baseline $2.0M kalshi
1h ago volume spike 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Gavin Newsom ↗ Elections $106.9k vs $213 baseline $1.5M kalshi
1h ago volume spike 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Rahm Emanuel ↗ Elections $7.6k vs $32 baseline $218.6k kalshi
1h ago volume spike 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Jon Stewart ↗ Elections $4.6k vs $3 baseline $23.2k kalshi
1h ago book opened Michigan Governor-Senate combo — John James and Abdul El-Sayed win ↗ Elections $960 kalshi
1h ago price move Iowa Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 1.28M ↗ Elections 0.5 → 0.305 $76 kalshi
1h ago price move California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes) — Yes, ≥13% ↗ Elections 0.045 → 0.495 $121 kalshi
1h ago price move Tarrant County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent — At least 52% ↗ Elections 0.445 → 0.565 $154 kalshi
1h ago price move Genesee County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent — At least 52% ↗ Elections 0.85 → 0.795 $2.0k kalshi
1h ago price move Orange County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent — At least 52% ↗ Elections 0.57 → 0.75 $0 kalshi
1h ago volume spike Tocantins: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff) — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1% ↗ Elections $4.0k vs $33 baseline $11.5k kalshi
1h ago price move Tocantins: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff) — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥8% ↗ Elections 0.5 → 0.55 $0 kalshi
1h ago volume spike Which party will win the U.S. Senate? — Republican Party ↗ Elections $79.9k vs $466 baseline $3.0M kalshi
1h ago volume spike Florida Governor winner? — David Jolly ↗ Elections $11.4k vs $35 baseline $239.7k kalshi
1h ago volume spike Texas Senate winner? — James Talarico ↗ Elections $99.5k vs $978 baseline $6.4M kalshi
1h ago volume spike Kansas Senate winner? — Roger Marshall ↗ Elections $13.9k vs $135 baseline $889.7k kalshi
1h ago volume spike Iowa Senate winner? — Josh Turek ↗ Elections $26.2k vs $161 baseline $1.1M kalshi
1h ago book opened Vermont Governor election: Phil Scott vote percent — At least 60% ↗ Elections $27 kalshi
1h ago volume spike Brazil Presidential election winner? — Flávio Bolsonaro ↗ Elections $27.0k vs $357 baseline $2.3M kalshi
1h ago volume spike 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — J.D. Vance ↗ Elections $44.3k vs $136 baseline $930.2k kalshi
1h ago volume spike 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Jon Ossoff ↗ Elections $45.4k vs $77 baseline $498.3k kalshi
1h ago book opened 2028 popular vote margin of victory? — Republican by 4.0% to 4.99% ↗ Elections $37 kalshi