polyrag

Lifecycle feed

Both venues' summary feeds are swept every few minutes and diffed against the stored catalogue. What comes out is not a price tape — it is the events a reader can act on: a market listed, a book waking up, a real move, a spike against the market's own baseline. Last sweep 6m ago, 41491 contracts.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24566 Economics 5477 Crypto 5320 Politics 2624 Commodities 2479 Financials 2273 Climate and Weather 1640 Entertainment 468 Science and Technology 266 Mentions 143

all listed price move volume spike book opened resolved closed 1h · 6h · 24h · 72h

wheneventmarketsizevenue
6m ago price move What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026? — Uruguay ↗ Politics 0.565 → 0.62 $25.3k kalshi
6m ago price move When will the White House announce an end to its press ban? — Before Nov 1, 2026 ↗ Politics 0.12 → 0.17 $923 kalshi
6m ago price move Which states will Trump visit in Oct 2026? — South Carolina ↗ Politics 0.88 → 0.745 $3.0k kalshi
6m ago price move Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 13, 2026? — 25-29 ↗ Politics 0.125 → 0.085 $112 kalshi
16m ago volume spike Will President Trump be impeached during his term? — Before Jan 20, 2029 ↗ Politics $7.0k vs $71 baseline $460.1k kalshi
16m ago volume spike Blue wave in 2026? — Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senat ↗ Politics $28.1k vs $172 baseline $1.1M kalshi
16m ago volume spike How high will gas prices in New York get this year? — Above $4.80 ↗ Politics $3.5k vs $1 baseline $9.3k kalshi
16m ago price move When will the White House announce an end to its press ban? — Before Jan 1, 2027 ↗ Politics 0.085 → 0.23 $144 kalshi
16m ago price move When will the White House announce an end to its press ban? — Before Mar 1, 2027 ↗ Politics 0.51 → 0.33 $52 kalshi
16m ago price move Which states will Trump visit in Oct 2026? — New Hampshire ↗ Politics 0.145 → 0.465 $810 kalshi
16m ago price move Which states will Trump visit in Oct 2026? — Wisconsin ↗ Politics 0.475 → 0.56 $600 kalshi
16m ago price move Which states will Trump visit in Oct 2026? — South Carolina ↗ Politics 0.81 → 0.88 $3.0k kalshi
16m ago price move Which states will Trump visit in Oct 2026? — Michigan ↗ Politics 0.94 → 0.61 $428 kalshi
16m ago price move Which states will Trump visit in Oct 2026? — Mississippi ↗ Politics 0.23 → 0.555 $113 kalshi
16m ago price move Who will Donald Trump talk to in Oct 2026? — Dario Amodei ↗ Politics 0.16 → 0.31 $77 kalshi
16m ago price move Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 13, 2026? — 20-24 ↗ Politics 0.825 → 0.895 $2.6k kalshi
16m ago price move Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 13, 2026? — 25-29 ↗ Politics 0.175 → 0.125 $112 kalshi
16m ago volume spike Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks? — Before 2027 ↗ Politics $6.0k vs $7 baseline $52.3k kalshi
26m ago volume spike Will President Trump be impeached during his term? — Before Jan 20, 2029 ↗ Politics $7.0k vs $70 baseline $460.1k kalshi
26m ago volume spike Blue tsunami in 2026? — Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Se ↗ Politics $13.5k vs $48 baseline $323.2k kalshi
26m ago price move When will the White House announce an end to its press ban? — Before Nov 1, 2026 ↗ Politics 0.19 → 0.08 $923 kalshi
26m ago price move When will the White House announce an end to its press ban? — Before Jan 1, 2027 ↗ Politics 0.24 → 0.085 $144 kalshi
26m ago price move When will the White House announce an end to its press ban? — Before Mar 1, 2027 ↗ Politics 0.42 → 0.51 $52 kalshi
26m ago price move When will the White House announce an end to its press ban? — Before Apr 1, 2027 ↗ Politics 0.6 → 0.52 $84 kalshi
26m ago price move Who will Donald Trump talk to in Oct 2026? — Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ↗ Politics 0.44 → 0.495 $589 kalshi
26m ago price move Who will Donald Trump talk to in Oct 2026? — Narendra Modi ↗ Politics 0.785 → 0.5 $848 kalshi
26m ago price move Who will Donald Trump talk to in Oct 2026? — Claudia Sheinbaum ↗ Politics 0.67 → 0.585 $563 kalshi
26m ago price move Who will Donald Trump talk to in Oct 2026? — Kevin Warsh ↗ Politics 0.42 → 0.485 $291 kalshi
26m ago price move Who will Donald Trump talk to in Oct 2026? — Sam Altman ↗ Politics 0.39 → 0.285 $485 kalshi
26m ago price move Who will Donald Trump talk to in Oct 2026? — Dario Amodei ↗ Politics 0.235 → 0.16 $77 kalshi
26m ago price move Who will Donald Trump talk to in Oct 2026? — Gianni Infantino ↗ Politics 0.12 → 0.32 $28 kalshi
26m ago volume spike Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333? — Yes ↗ Politics $5.0k vs $0 baseline $7.5k kalshi
26m ago price move Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 13, 2026? — 20-24 ↗ Politics 0.75 → 0.825 $2.6k kalshi
36m ago price move How high will gas prices in New York get this year? — Above $5.00 ↗ Politics 0.2825 → 0.194 $3.9k kalshi
36m ago price move Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela? — Before Jan 1, 2027 ↗ Politics 0.405 → 0.485 $10.6k kalshi
36m ago price move Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh? — Before Apr 1, 2027 ↗ Politics 0.45 → 0.59 $604 kalshi
36m ago price move When will the White House announce an end to its press ban? — Before Jan 1, 2027 ↗ Politics 0.175 → 0.24 $144 kalshi
36m ago price move When will the White House announce an end to its press ban? — Before Mar 1, 2027 ↗ Politics 0.36 → 0.42 $52 kalshi
36m ago price move How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18) — 7 ↗ Politics 0.895 → 0.805 $9.1k kalshi
36m ago price move Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 13, 2026? — 20-24 ↗ Politics 0.925 → 0.75 $2.6k kalshi
36m ago price move Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 13, 2026? — 25-29 ↗ Politics 0.06 → 0.195 $112 kalshi
36m ago volume spike Will Donald Trump visit Iran? — Before Jan 1, 2027 ↗ Politics $7.0k vs $1 baseline $16.4k kalshi
46m ago volume spike Will President Trump be impeached during his term? — Before Jan 20, 2029 ↗ Politics $7.0k vs $71 baseline $460.1k kalshi
46m ago volume spike Will the SAVE Act become law? — Before Jan 4, 2027 ↗ Politics $29.0k vs $51 baseline $347.5k kalshi
46m ago price move What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026? — Uruguay ↗ Politics 0.63 → 0.575 $25.3k kalshi
46m ago price move Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela? — Before Dec 1, 2026 ↗ Politics 0.3 → 0.45 $586 kalshi
46m ago price move Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela? — Before Apr 1, 2027 ↗ Politics 0.605 → 0.735 $308 kalshi
46m ago price move When will the White House announce an end to its press ban? — Before Nov 1, 2026 ↗ Politics 0.12 → 0.18 $923 kalshi
46m ago price move When will the White House announce an end to its press ban? — Before Jan 1, 2027 ↗ Politics 0.105 → 0.175 $144 kalshi
46m ago price move How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026? ↗ Politics 0.58 → 0.525 $1.3k kalshi
46m ago volume spike When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Dec 1, 2026 ↗ Politics $13.4k vs $6 baseline $53.7k kalshi
46m ago volume spike When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jan 1, 2027 ↗ Politics $29.2k vs $30 baseline $223.6k kalshi
56m ago volume spike Will President Trump be impeached during his term? — Before Jan 20, 2029 ↗ Politics $7.0k vs $70 baseline $460.1k kalshi
56m ago price move Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? — Before Jan 1, 2028 ↗ Politics 0.585 → 0.52 $658 kalshi
56m ago price move How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026? — At least 5 ↗ Politics 0.475 → 0.55 $2.9k kalshi
56m ago price move What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026? — Uruguay ↗ Politics 0.505 → 0.63 $25.3k kalshi
56m ago price move How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026? ↗ Politics 0.12 → 0.03 $897 kalshi
56m ago volume spike Will Trump be impeached? — Before Mar 1, 2027 ↗ Politics $7.8k vs $12 baseline $85.7k kalshi
56m ago volume spike Will Trump be impeached? — Before Jan 1, 2028 ↗ Politics $11.7k vs $117 baseline $772.7k kalshi
1h ago volume spike Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland? — Before 2027 ↗ Politics $9.9k vs $5 baseline $44.3k kalshi
1h ago price move Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? — Before Jan 1, 2028 ↗ Politics 0.515 → 0.585 $658 kalshi
1h ago price move Will SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary? — Before Aug 1, 2 ↗ Politics 0.665 → 0.45 $1.1k kalshi
1h ago volume spike US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Jan 1, 2027 ↗ Politics $18.0k vs $30 baseline $215.6k kalshi
1h ago volume spike Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death) — Before 2028 ↗ Politics $9.2k vs $20 baseline $138.2k kalshi
1h ago price move What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026? — Uruguay ↗ Politics 0.575 → 0.505 $25.3k kalshi
1h ago price move How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026? — At least 14 ↗ Politics 0.775 → 0.84 $785 kalshi
1h ago volume spike Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333? — Yes ↗ Politics $4.9k vs $0 baseline $7.5k kalshi
1h ago price move Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 13, 2026? — 20-24 ↗ Politics 0.845 → 0.91 $2.6k kalshi
1h ago price move Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 13, 2026? — 25-29 ↗ Politics 0.14 → 0.095 $112 kalshi
1h ago price move Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 13, 2026? — 30-39 ↗ Politics 0.13 → 0.065 $4 kalshi
1h ago price move Will SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary? — Before Aug 1, 2 ↗ Politics 0.76 → 0.665 $1.1k kalshi
1h ago price move What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026? — Uruguay ↗ Politics 0.51 → 0.575 $25.3k kalshi
1h ago price move How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026? — 1 ↗ Politics 0.385 → 0.03 $8 kalshi
1h ago price move How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026? ↗ Politics 0.235 → 0.06 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026? — 3 to 9 ↗ Politics 0.425 → 0.7 $703 kalshi
1h ago price move How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026? — 10 to 24 ↗ Politics 0.46 → 0.06 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026? — 25 to 99 ↗ Politics 0.46 → 0.06 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026? — 100 to 249 ↗ Politics 0.465 → 0.06 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026? — Above 249 ↗ Politics 0.455 → 0.06 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — Below 8.1% ↗ Politics 0.285 → 0.07 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — 8.2% ↗ Politics 0.51 → 0.445 $210 kalshi
1h ago price move Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — 8.3% ↗ Politics 0.38 → 0.21 $5 kalshi
1h ago price move Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — 8.5% ↗ Politics 0.36 → 0.085 $5 kalshi
1h ago price move Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — 8.6% ↗ Politics 0.29 → 0.07 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — 8.7% ↗ Politics 0.285 → 0.07 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — Above 8.7% ↗ Politics 0.255 → 0.065 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 13, 2026? — 20-24 ↗ Politics 0.68 → 0.845 $2.6k kalshi
1h ago price move Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 13, 2026? — 25-29 ↗ Politics 0.245 → 0.14 $112 kalshi
1h ago volume spike Will President Trump be impeached during his term? — Before Jan 20, 2029 ↗ Politics $7.0k vs $71 baseline $460.1k kalshi
1h ago volume spike Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Robert F. Kennedy Jr. ↗ Politics $4.2k vs $4 baseline $30.8k kalshi
1h ago price move How high will gas prices in New York get this year? — Above $5.00 ↗ Politics 0.28 → 0.223 $3.9k kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — Colorado ↗ Politics 0.48 → 0.4 $2.8k kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — Iowa ↗ Politics 0.825 → 0.91 $4.4k kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — Idaho ↗ Politics 0.62 → 0.37 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — Indiana ↗ Politics 0.585 → 0.34 $460 kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — Louisiana ↗ Politics 0.505 → 0.37 $1.1k kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — Massachusetts ↗ Politics 0.51 → 0.215 $29 kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — Mississippi ↗ Politics 0.21 → 0.31 $629 kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — Missouri ↗ Politics 0.61 → 0.37 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — New Hampshire ↗ Politics 0.455 → 0.37 $3 kalshi
1h ago book opened Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — New Mexico ↗ Politics $357 kalshi
1h ago book opened Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — Oregon ↗ Politics $0 kalshi
1h ago book opened Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — Rhode Island ↗ Politics $0 kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — Utah ↗ Politics 0.2 → 0.345 $35 kalshi
1h ago book opened Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — Vermont ↗ Politics $19 kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — West Virginia ↗ Politics 0.61 → 0.37 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — Wyoming ↗ Politics 0.62 → 0.37 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026? — Uruguay ↗ Politics 0.63 → 0.51 $25.3k kalshi
1h ago price move Which bills will become law in 2026? — Railway safety bill ↗ Politics 0.19 → 0.125 $799 kalshi
1h ago price move Which bills will become law in 2026? — ADS-B revenue-use restriction ↗ Politics 0.175 → 0.11 $151 kalshi
1h ago price move How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026? ↗ Politics 0.175 → 0.125 $897 kalshi
1h ago price move How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026? — 3 to 9 ↗ Politics 0.49 → 0.425 $703 kalshi
1h ago price move How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026? ↗ Politics 0.53 → 0.585 $1.3k kalshi
1h ago price move Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — Below 8.1% ↗ Politics 0.07 → 0.285 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — 8.5% ↗ Politics 0.23 → 0.36 $5 kalshi
1h ago price move Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — 8.6% ↗ Politics 0.07 → 0.29 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — 8.7% ↗ Politics 0.07 → 0.285 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — Above 8.7% ↗ Politics 0.335 → 0.255 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move Will marijuana be rescheduled? — Before Apr 1, 2027 ↗ Politics 0.57 → 0.465 $1.7k kalshi
1h ago volume spike Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kash Patel ↗ Politics $51.8k vs $34 baseline $258.9k kalshi
1h ago volume spike Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Pete Hegseth ↗ Politics $12.6k vs $45 baseline $302.1k kalshi
1h ago volume spike Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Susie Wiles ↗ Politics $4.6k vs $9 baseline $61.2k kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — Iowa ↗ Politics 0.91 → 0.825 $4.4k kalshi
1h ago price move Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026? — Gavin Newsom ↗ Politics 0.31 → 0.21 $1.2k kalshi
1h ago price move What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026? — Uruguay ↗ Politics 0.455 → 0.63 $25.3k kalshi
1h ago price move How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026? — 1 ↗ Politics 0.43 → 0.49 $3.5k kalshi
1h ago price move How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026? ↗ Politics 0.585 → 0.53 $1.3k kalshi
1h ago price move Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — 8.5% ↗ Politics 0.285 → 0.23 $5 kalshi
1h ago price move Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 13, 2026? — 20-24 ↗ Politics 0.605 → 0.715 $2.6k kalshi
1h ago volume spike Will Trump be impeached? — Before Jan 1, 2027 ↗ Politics $6.3k vs $7 baseline $53.4k kalshi
1h ago price move Will marijuana be rescheduled? — Before Apr 1, 2027 ↗ Politics 0.475 → 0.57 $1.7k kalshi
1h ago volume spike Will President Trump be impeached during his term? — Before Jan 20, 2029 ↗ Politics $7.0k vs $70 baseline $460.1k kalshi
1h ago price move Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? — Before Jan 1, 2028 ↗ Politics 0.595 → 0.535 $658 kalshi
1h ago volume spike Blue wave in 2026? — Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senat ↗ Politics $41.9k vs $171 baseline $1.1M kalshi
1h ago book opened Will Putin visit the U.S.? — Before Jan 1, 2028 ↗ Politics $0 kalshi
1h ago price move How high will gas prices in New York get this year? — Above $5.00 ↗ Politics 0.2975 → 0.2305 $3.9k kalshi
1h ago price move What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026? — Uruguay ↗ Politics 0.55 → 0.455 $25.3k kalshi
1h ago volume spike Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh? — Before Jan 1, 2027 ↗ Politics $10.2k vs $27 baseline $188.1k kalshi
1h ago price move Will marijuana be rescheduled? — Before Apr 1, 2027 ↗ Politics 0.585 → 0.475 $1.7k kalshi
1h ago book opened Which states will enact data center moratoriums before 2028? — South Carolina ↗ Politics $1 kalshi
1h ago volume spike Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Pete Hegseth ↗ Politics $25.2k vs $41 baseline $302.1k kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — Idaho ↗ Politics 0.37 → 0.62 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — Indiana ↗ Politics 0.345 → 0.585 $460 kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — Louisiana ↗ Politics 0.37 → 0.5 $1.1k kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — Massachusetts ↗ Politics 0.215 → 0.51 $29 kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — Mississippi ↗ Politics 0.365 → 0.21 $629 kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — Missouri ↗ Politics 0.37 → 0.61 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — New Hampshire ↗ Politics 0.37 → 0.47 $3 kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — Utah ↗ Politics 0.345 → 0.2 $35 kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — West Virginia ↗ Politics 0.37 → 0.61 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move Which states will Trump visit in 2026? — Wyoming ↗ Politics 0.37 → 0.62 $0 kalshi
1h ago price move What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026? — Uruguay ↗ Politics 0.43 → 0.55 $25.3k kalshi
1h ago book opened Which states will Trump visit in Oct 2026? — Kansas ↗ Politics $4.5k kalshi
1h ago price move Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — 8.3% ↗ Politics 0.45 → 0.37 $5 kalshi
1h ago price move Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — 8.5% ↗ Politics 0.355 → 0.265 $5 kalshi
1h ago volume spike When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jan 1, 2027 ↗ Politics $16.2k vs $30 baseline $223.6k kalshi
1h ago price move Will marijuana be rescheduled? — Before Apr 1, 2027 ↗ Politics 0.475 → 0.585 $1.7k kalshi
2h ago volume spike How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026? — At least 3 ↗ Politics $2.3k vs $3 baseline $24.8k kalshi
2h ago volume spike Blue tsunami in 2026? — Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Se ↗ Politics $6.7k vs $49 baseline $323.2k kalshi
2h ago volume spike Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Howard Lutnick ↗ Politics $12.5k vs $9 baseline $70.7k kalshi
2h ago volume spike Will the federal gas tax be suspended? — Before Jan 1, 2027 ↗ Politics $4.5k vs $2 baseline $17.9k kalshi
2h ago price move Which bills will become law in 2026? — E15 year-round sales ↗ Politics 0.045 → 0.13 $2.1k kalshi
2h ago price move Which bills will become law in 2026? — Railway safety bill ↗ Politics 0.125 → 0.19 $799 kalshi
2h ago price move Which bills will become law in 2026? — ADS-B revenue-use restriction ↗ Politics 0.29 → 0.19 $151 kalshi
2h ago price move Which bills will become law in 2026? — Insulin cost cap ↗ Politics 0.255 → 0.15 $1.1k kalshi
2h ago volume spike Will Trump declare an election emergency? — Before Nov 4, 2026 ↗ Politics $7.1k vs $5 baseline $37.9k kalshi
2h ago volume spike Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333? — Yes ↗ Politics $2.5k vs $0 baseline $7.5k kalshi
2h ago price move Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — Above 8.7% ↗ Politics 0.25 → 0.31 $0 kalshi
2h ago volume spike When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jan 1, 2027 ↗ Politics $32.4k vs $25 baseline $223.6k kalshi
2h ago price move Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? — Before Apr 1, 2027 ↗ Politics 0.3 → 0.355 $599 kalshi
2h ago price move Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? — Before Jan 1, 2028 ↗ Politics 0.715 → 0.55 $658 kalshi
2h ago price move How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026? — At least 3 ↗ Politics 0.775 → 0.845 $24.8k kalshi
2h ago volume spike Blue tsunami in 2026? — Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Se ↗ Politics $13.5k vs $47 baseline $323.2k kalshi
2h ago price move Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026? — Yes ↗ Politics 0.865 → 0.915 $11.9k kalshi
2h ago volume spike Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026? — Yes ↗ Politics $3.5k vs $9 baseline $11.9k kalshi
2h ago price move How high will gas prices in New York get this year? — Above $5.00 ↗ Politics 0.275 → 0.2205 $3.9k kalshi
2h ago volume spike Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Ilhan Omar ↗ Politics $5.8k vs $11 baseline $72.8k kalshi
2h ago price move How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026? ↗ Politics 0.135 → 0.245 $897 kalshi
2h ago price move Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — 8.2% ↗ Politics 0.17 → 0.49 $210 kalshi
2h ago price move Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — 8.3% ↗ Politics 0.3 → 0.44 $5 kalshi
2h ago price move Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — 8.5% ↗ Politics 0.095 → 0.365 $5 kalshi
2h ago price move Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — Above 8.7% ↗ Politics 0.07 → 0.25 $0 kalshi
2h ago price move Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 13, 2026? — 20-24 ↗ Politics 0.515 → 0.635 $2.6k kalshi
2h ago volume spike Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act? — Before Jan 20, 2029 ↗ Politics $2.3k vs $16 baseline $97.2k kalshi
2h ago volume spike Will President Trump be impeached during his term? — Before Jan 20, 2029 ↗ Politics $14.0k vs $69 baseline $460.1k kalshi
2h ago price move How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026? — At least 3 ↗ Politics 0.705 → 0.775 $24.8k kalshi
2h ago volume spike How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026? — At least 3 ↗ Politics $2.6k vs $3 baseline $24.8k kalshi
2h ago price move How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026? — At least 4 ↗ Politics 0.53 → 0.625 $3.4k kalshi
2h ago price move How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026? — At least 5 ↗ Politics 0.315 → 0.49 $2.9k kalshi
2h ago price move How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026? — At least 6 ↗ Politics 0.14 → 0.18 $0 kalshi
2h ago price move Will Trump do anything on Oct 13, 2026? — Yes ↗ Politics 0.395 → 0.47 $62 kalshi
2h ago price move What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026? — Uruguay ↗ Politics 0.45 → 0.395 $25.3k kalshi
2h ago price move Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Kimberly Guilfoyle ↗ Politics 0.125 → 0.16 $42 kalshi
2h ago price move How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026? — 1 ↗ Politics 0.275 → 0.385 $8 kalshi
2h ago price move How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026? — 1 ↗ Politics 0.49 → 0.435 $3.5k kalshi
2h ago volume spike Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026? — Yes ↗ Politics $2.4k vs $6 baseline $11.9k kalshi
2h ago price move How high will gas prices in New York get this year? — Above $5.00 ↗ Politics 0.2675 → 0.199 $3.9k kalshi
2h ago volume spike Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms? — Before election day 2026 ↗ Politics $19.4k vs $12 baseline $96.8k kalshi
2h ago price move How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026? ↗ Politics 0.27 → 0.155 $897 kalshi
2h ago price move How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026? — 3 to 9 ↗ Politics 0.25 → 0.485 $703 kalshi