polyrag

Lifecycle feed

Both venues' summary feeds are swept every few minutes and diffed against the stored catalogue. What comes out is not a price tape — it is the events a reader can act on: a market listed, a book waking up, a real move, a spike against the market's own baseline. Last sweep 7m ago, 40664 contracts.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24657 Economics 5393 Crypto 5361 Politics 2636 Commodities 2523 Financials 2293 Climate and Weather 1645 Entertainment 466 Science and Technology 219 Mentions 144

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

all listed price move volume spike book opened resolved closed 1h · 6h · 24h · 72h

wheneventmarketsizevenue
7m ago volume spike 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ↗ Elections $4.5k vs $68 baseline $444.5k kalshi
7m ago volume spike 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Kamala Harris ↗ Elections $42.7k vs $100 baseline $691.8k kalshi
7m ago volume spike 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Jon Ossoff ↗ Elections $87.9k vs $189 baseline $1.3M kalshi
7m ago volume spike Will the Citrini scenario happen? — Yes ↗ Elections $259.3k vs $836 baseline $5.7M kalshi
7m ago volume spike Texas Senate margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 3+ pts ↗ Elections $2.3k vs $8 baseline $54.4k kalshi
7m ago volume spike Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026 — Above 97.5 TWh ↗ Economics $3.3k vs $5 baseline $33.0k kalshi
7m ago volume spike Taipei mayoral election winner? — Chiang Wan-an ↗ Elections $2.2k vs $8 baseline $48.3k kalshi
7m ago volume spike How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) — Below 53 ↗ Elections $4.9k vs $10 baseline $68.2k kalshi
7m ago volume spike How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — Above 249 ↗ Elections $5.7k vs $10 baseline $67.9k kalshi
7m ago volume spike Which party will win the U.S. Senate? — Republican Party ↗ Elections $4.0k vs $468 baseline $3.1M kalshi
7m ago volume spike Which party will win the U.S. House? — Democratic Party ↗ Elections $19.1k vs $2.6k baseline $17.2M kalshi
7m ago volume spike Nebraska Senate winner? — Dan Osborn ↗ Elections $9.4k vs $35 baseline $234.5k kalshi
7m ago volume spike TX-15 House winner? — Bobby Pulido ↗ Elections $2.5k vs $64 baseline $422.6k kalshi
7m ago volume spike Alaska Governor winner? — Dave Bronson ↗ Elections $5.2k vs $0 baseline $5.7k kalshi
7m ago volume spike Fed decision in Oct 2026? — Fed maintains rate ↗ Economics $41.6k vs $517 baseline $3.4M kalshi
7m ago volume spike Fluminense vs Palmeiras: Regulation Time Total Goals — Reg Time: Over 0.5 goals scored ↗ Sports $2.1k vs $0 baseline $2.1k kalshi
7m ago volume spike Where will it rain on Oct 13, 2026? — Houston ↗ Climate and Weather $8.4k vs $179 baseline $17.0k kalshi
7m ago volume spike CPI in September — Above 0.5% ↗ Economics $25.5k vs $63 baseline $433.5k kalshi
7m ago volume spike Botic Van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar: Total Games — Over 17.5 games ↗ Sports $2.1k vs $243 baseline $2.3k kalshi
7m ago volume spike Svitolina vs Samsonova — Liudmila Samsonova ↗ Sports $55.4k vs $4.3k baseline $85.7k kalshi
7m ago volume spike BTC price on Oct 14, 2026 at 1am EDT? — $83,900 or above ↗ Crypto $3.3k vs $352 baseline $4.4k kalshi
17m ago volume spike Will Trump be impeached and removed from office? — Before his term ends ↗ Politics $22.4k vs $19 baseline $149.3k kalshi
17m ago volume spike Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act? — Before Jan 20, 2029 ↗ Politics $9.1k vs $15 baseline $106.3k kalshi
17m ago volume spike Will President Trump be impeached during his term? — Before Jan 20, 2029 ↗ Politics $14.2k vs $70 baseline $467.4k kalshi
17m ago volume spike Next Fed rate hike? — Before 2027 ↗ Economics $2.2k vs $14 baseline $56.3k kalshi
17m ago volume spike Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 5+ pts ↗ Elections $3.4k vs $4 baseline $27.2k kalshi
17m ago volume spike Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026 — Above 97.5 TWh ↗ Economics $6.0k vs $4 baseline $33.0k kalshi
17m ago volume spike Ohio Governor winner? — Vivek Ramaswamy ↗ Elections $14.3k vs $68 baseline $458.3k kalshi
17m ago volume spike Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota? — Before 2027 ↗ Politics $16.1k vs $9 baseline $76.8k kalshi
17m ago volume spike Florida Governor winner? — David Jolly ↗ Elections $11.4k vs $37 baseline $251.5k kalshi
17m ago volume spike Texas Senate winner? — James Talarico ↗ Elections $16.6k vs $994 baseline $6.4M kalshi
17m ago volume spike South Carolina Senate winner? — Annie Andrews ↗ Elections $20.2k vs $43 baseline $302.2k kalshi
17m ago volume spike Kansas Senate winner? — Adam Hamilton ↗ Elections $20.5k vs $113 baseline $756.6k kalshi
17m ago volume spike Iowa Senate winner? — Josh Turek ↗ Elections $26.2k vs $161 baseline $1.1M kalshi
17m ago volume spike New York Governor winner? — Bruce Blakeman ↗ Elections $8.2k vs $19 baseline $131.1k kalshi
17m ago volume spike Alaska Senate winner? (Person) — Dan Sullivan ↗ Elections $2.2k vs $9 baseline $59.5k kalshi
17m ago volume spike Susanto vs Lee — Anthony Susanto ↗ Sports $2.6k vs $237 baseline $4.5k kalshi
17m ago volume spike Magdalena Frech vs Iga Swiatek: Set 2 Winner ↗ Sports $9.9k vs $1.2k baseline $11.1k kalshi
17m ago volume spike PlayTime vs. Pibbles Corp ↗ Sports $5.7k vs $260 baseline $13.2k kalshi
17m ago volume spike Los Angeles Mayor winner? — Nithya Raman ↗ Elections $201.3k vs $1.7k baseline $11.3M kalshi
27m ago volume spike Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 1+ pts ↗ Elections $8.1k vs $7 baseline $53.9k kalshi
27m ago volume spike Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 2+ pts ↗ Elections $2.6k vs $4 baseline $3.4k kalshi
27m ago volume spike How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — Above 52 ↗ Elections $13.3k vs $72 baseline $479.5k kalshi
27m ago volume spike Which party will win the U.S. House? — Republican Party ↗ Elections $372.7k vs $572 baseline $4.1M kalshi
27m ago volume spike Texas Governor winner? — Greg Abbott ↗ Elections $2.7k vs $87 baseline $572.4k kalshi
27m ago volume spike Ohio Senate winner? — Jon Husted ↗ Elections $38.0k vs $204 baseline $1.3M kalshi
27m ago volume spike Nebraska Senate winner? — Pete Ricketts ↗ Elections $14.8k vs $168 baseline $1.1M kalshi
27m ago volume spike Georgia Senate winner? — Mike Collins ↗ Elections $11.9k vs $9 baseline $67.0k kalshi
27m ago volume spike Will the SAVE Act become law? — Before Jan 4, 2027 ↗ Politics $14.5k vs $53 baseline $362.0k kalshi
27m ago volume spike NY-17 House winner? — Cait Conley ↗ Elections $3.0k vs $8 baseline $56.1k kalshi
27m ago volume spike Fed decision in Oct 2026? — Hike 25bps ↗ Economics $29.0k vs $80 baseline $551.4k kalshi
27m ago volume spike Auburn vs Georgia ↗ Sports $2.9k vs $41 baseline $45.9k kalshi
27m ago volume spike Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.5% ↗ Economics $8.8k vs $29 baseline $194.3k kalshi
27m ago volume spike Mackenzie vs Crowther — Jamie Mackenzie ↗ Sports $5.0k vs $45 baseline $5.8k kalshi
27m ago volume spike Fomin vs Palan — Sergey Fomin ↗ Sports $55.9k vs $5.5k baseline $83.3k kalshi
27m ago volume spike Edmonton vs Los Angeles ↗ Sports $21.0k vs $2.6k baseline $37.1k kalshi
27m ago volume spike Romisa Malik vs Jamshidi — Elena Jamshidi ↗ Sports $3.1k vs $0 baseline $3.2k kalshi
27m ago volume spike Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Jan 1, 2027 ↗ Politics $14.6k vs $22 baseline $156.0k kalshi
37m ago volume spike 2028 Republican presidential nominee — Marco Rubio ↗ Elections $56.6k vs $139 baseline $962.7k kalshi
37m ago volume spike How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 51 ↗ Elections $3.1k vs $6 baseline $39.7k kalshi
37m ago volume spike How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — Above 249 ↗ Elections $5.7k vs $9 baseline $67.9k kalshi
37m ago volume spike Blue wave in 2026? — Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senat ↗ Politics $14.0k vs $172 baseline $1.1M kalshi
37m ago volume spike 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? — Democrats sweep ↗ Elections $49.8k vs $458 baseline $3.0M kalshi
37m ago volume spike Which party will win the U.S. House? — Democratic Party ↗ Elections $20.0k vs $2.6k baseline $17.2M kalshi
37m ago volume spike Massachusetts Governor winner? — Mike Minogue ↗ Elections $5.1k vs $7 baseline $51.2k kalshi
37m ago volume spike Texas Senate winner? — James Talarico ↗ Elections $101.3k vs $978 baseline $6.4M kalshi
37m ago volume spike Nebraska Senate winner? — Dan Osborn ↗ Elections $9.4k vs $35 baseline $234.5k kalshi
37m ago volume spike Minnesota Senate winner? — Peggy Flanagan ↗ Elections $5.5k vs $72 baseline $470.6k kalshi
37m ago volume spike Alaska Senate winner? — Democratic party ↗ Elections $11.1k vs $124 baseline $807.8k kalshi
37m ago volume spike New York Governor winner? — Bruce Blakeman ↗ Elections $8.4k vs $19 baseline $131.1k kalshi
37m ago volume spike Whalefall · Rotten Tomatoes score — Above 55 ↗ Entertainment $2.7k vs $17 baseline $24.1k kalshi
37m ago volume spike Manchester City vs PSG: Total Goals — Over 1.5 goals scored ↗ Sports $3.3k vs $10 baseline $12.0k kalshi
37m ago volume spike Australia vs Bangladesh ↗ Sports $5.1k vs $25 baseline $38.6k kalshi
37m ago volume spike Zhang vs Koyama — jiale Zhang ↗ Sports $49.0k vs $1.1k baseline $62.1k kalshi
37m ago volume spike Zhang vs Koyama — Honori Koyama ↗ Sports $124.5k vs $1.5k baseline $142.3k kalshi
37m ago volume spike Zhang vs Lan — Ziyan Zhang ↗ Sports $46.0k vs $6.0k baseline $141.7k kalshi
37m ago volume spike Portland vs Sacramento: Spread — Portland wins by over 15.5 points ↗ Sports $8.8k vs $0 baseline $8.8k kalshi
37m ago volume spike Portland vs Sacramento: Spread — Portland wins by over 17.5 points ↗ Sports $8.9k vs $0 baseline $8.9k kalshi
37m ago volume spike When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Apr 1, 2027 ↗ Politics $16.7k vs $29 baseline $208.2k kalshi
47m ago volume spike 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Gavin Newsom ↗ Elections $106.5k vs $213 baseline $1.5M kalshi
47m ago volume spike 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Gretchen Whitmer ↗ Elections $4.6k vs $4 baseline $27.5k kalshi
47m ago volume spike 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Raphael Warnock ↗ Elections $5.5k vs $24 baseline $163.8k kalshi
47m ago volume spike 2028 Presidential matchup — AOC v. JD Vance ↗ Elections $2.1k vs $0 baseline $5.6k kalshi
47m ago volume spike Which party will win the U.S. Senate? — Republican Party ↗ Elections $81.6k vs $455 baseline $3.1M kalshi
47m ago volume spike Texas Governor winner? — Gina Hinojosa ↗ Elections $15.1k vs $43 baseline $284.6k kalshi
47m ago volume spike Florida Governor winner? — Byron Donalds ↗ Elections $18.7k vs $224 baseline $1.5M kalshi
47m ago volume spike Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.9% ↗ Economics $3.3k vs $4 baseline $26.6k kalshi
47m ago volume spike Fed decision in Oct 2026? — Cut 25bps ↗ Economics $2.1k vs $2 baseline $12.9k kalshi
47m ago volume spike Fed decision in Oct 2026? — Fed maintains rate ↗ Economics $41.6k vs $517 baseline $3.4M kalshi
47m ago volume spike Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.2% ↗ Economics $4.0k vs $4 baseline $28.5k kalshi
47m ago volume spike Minnesota gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.2500 ↗ Economics $5.8k vs $6 baseline $6.3k kalshi
47m ago volume spike US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.3300 ↗ Economics $2.3k vs $224 baseline $23.5k kalshi
47m ago volume spike CPI in September — Above 0.4% ↗ Economics $2.9k vs $39 baseline $250.5k kalshi
47m ago volume spike CPI in September — Above 0.5% ↗ Economics $6.3k vs $65 baseline $433.5k kalshi
47m ago volume spike Magdalena Frech vs Iga Swiatek: Set 1 Winner ↗ Sports $8.0k vs $64 baseline $1.7k kalshi
47m ago volume spike Frech vs Swiatek — Iga Swiatek ↗ Sports $378.1k vs $12.0k baseline $723.3k kalshi
47m ago volume spike Boston vs San Jose: Goals — Kiefer Sherwood: 1+ ↗ Sports $2.8k vs $0 baseline $2.5k kalshi
47m ago volume spike Portland vs Sacramento: Total Points — Over 227.5 points ↗ Sports $6.3k vs $669 baseline $760 kalshi
47m ago volume spike Portland vs Sacramento: Total Points — Over 229.5 points ↗ Sports $4.3k vs $669 baseline $7.0k kalshi
47m ago volume spike Calgary vs Anaheim: Spread — Calgary wins by over 1.5 goals ↗ Sports $4.0k vs $474 baseline $3.0k kalshi
57m ago volume spike Will President Trump be impeached during his term? — Before Jan 20, 2029 ↗ Politics $7.0k vs $71 baseline $467.4k kalshi
57m ago volume spike 2028 Republican presidential nominee — J.D. Vance ↗ Elections $46.3k vs $299 baseline $2.0M kalshi
57m ago volume spike 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Jon Ossoff ↗ Elections $87.8k vs $189 baseline $1.3M kalshi
57m ago volume spike Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 1+ pts ↗ Elections $7.1k vs $7 baseline $53.9k kalshi
57m ago volume spike Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 3+ pts ↗ Elections $3.6k vs $5 baseline $36.4k kalshi
57m ago volume spike Blue wave in 2026? — Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senat ↗ Politics $28.1k vs $172 baseline $1.1M kalshi
57m ago volume spike Florida Governor winner? — David Jolly ↗ Elections $11.4k vs $35 baseline $251.5k kalshi
57m ago volume spike Texas Senate winner? — James Talarico ↗ Elections $5.1k vs $978 baseline $6.4M kalshi
57m ago volume spike Michigan Senate winner? — Abdul El-Sayed ↗ Elections $27.4k vs $281 baseline $1.9M kalshi
57m ago volume spike Florida Senate winner? — Ashley Moody ↗ Elections $5.5k vs $61 baseline $403.5k kalshi
57m ago volume spike How high will gas prices in New York get this year? — Above $4.80 ↗ Politics $3.5k vs $1 baseline $9.3k kalshi
57m ago volume spike New York Governor winner? — Kathy Hochul ↗ Elections $3.4k vs $78 baseline $505.3k kalshi
57m ago volume spike New York Governor winner? — Bruce Blakeman ↗ Elections $2.1k vs $18 baseline $131.1k kalshi
57m ago volume spike Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? — Delcy Rodríguez ↗ Elections $41.6k vs $47 baseline $346.9k kalshi
57m ago volume spike BTC price on Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $78,500 or above ↗ Crypto $3.8k vs $2 baseline $4.8k kalshi
57m ago volume spike BTC price on Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $79,000 or above ↗ Crypto $4.2k vs $55 baseline $38.7k kalshi
57m ago volume spike US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.3300 ↗ Economics $3.3k vs $191 baseline $23.5k kalshi
57m ago volume spike Zhang vs Lan — Ziyan Zhang ↗ Sports $63.2k vs $3.8k baseline $141.7k kalshi
57m ago volume spike Bahrain vs Qatar ↗ Sports $4.8k vs $618 baseline $11.9k kalshi
57m ago volume spike Portland vs Sacramento: Total Points — Over 207.5 points ↗ Sports $7.2k vs $11 baseline $8.6k kalshi
57m ago volume spike Portland vs Sacramento: Total Points — Over 209.5 points ↗ Sports $2.5k vs $6 baseline $3.0k kalshi
57m ago volume spike Portland vs Sacramento: Spread — Portland wins by over 13.5 points ↗ Sports $5.0k vs $1 baseline $6.1k kalshi
57m ago volume spike BTC price on Oct 14, 2026 at 12am EDT? — $83,900 or above ↗ Crypto $9.8k vs $1.7k baseline $1.8k kalshi
57m ago volume spike HYPE 15 min · $82.5286 target — Target Price: $82.5286 ↗ Crypto $25.7k vs $4.9k baseline $30.6k kalshi
57m ago volume spike Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks? — Before 2027 ↗ Politics $6.0k vs $7 baseline $46.3k kalshi