120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader? — Tom Cotton
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $16 traded · market at 2.5%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader? — Tom Cotton | 0.010 | 0.040 | 2.5% | 2028-01-03 | $16 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- relevant county clerk or board of elections — https://kalshi.com/
- Attorney General of the United States — https://www.justice.gov/ag
- relevant city/municipal clerk — https://kalshi.com/
- in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer — https://kalshi.com/
- the Federal Election Commission — https://www.fec.gov
- state board of elections or canvassing board — https://kalshi.com/
- The Source Agencies are — https://kalshi.com/