2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Chris Murphy
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $24.6k traded · market at 0.5%
loading price history…
What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Chris Murphy | 0.005 | 0.006 | 0.5% | 2028-11-07 | $24.6k |
Cross-venue
| buy | sell | edge | notional | resolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| poly 0.005 | kals 0.006 | 0.06c | $33.31 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: None |
| poly 0.005 | kals 0.006 | 0.06c | $33.31 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: None |
| poly 0.005 | kals 0.006 | 0.06c | $33.31 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: None |
| poly 0.005 | kals 0.006 | 0.06c | $33.33 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: None |
| poly 0.005 | kals 0.006 | 0.06c | $33.33 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: None |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Republican Party — https://gop.com/
- Democratic Party — https://democrats.org/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.