polyrag

2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Gretchen Whitmer

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $27.6k traded · market at 0.5%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Gretchen Whitmer 0.008 0.009 0.9% 2028-11-07 $38.2k

Cross-venue

buyselledgenotionalresolution
poly 0.007 kals 0.008 0.04c $0.02 diverges/medium [withdrawal]: Polymarket's explicit rule that replacem…

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.

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