polyrag

2028 Democratic presidential nominee — James Talarico

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $219.2k traded · market at 2.3%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — James Talarico 0.019 0.023 2.1% 2028-11-07 $154.3k

Cross-venue

buyselledgenotionalresolution
kals 0.019 poly 0.025 0.47c $0.23 diverges/medium [withdrawal]: None
kals 0.017 poly 0.026 0.78c $0.01 diverges/medium [withdrawal]: None
kals 0.019 poly 0.026 0.57c $1.72 diverges/medium [withdrawal]: None
kals 0.019 poly 0.026 0.57c $1.36 diverges/medium [withdrawal]: None
kals 0.019 poly 0.026 0.57c $1.36 diverges/medium [withdrawal]: None

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.

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