2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Rahm Emanuel
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $218.6k traded · market at 2.9%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Rahm Emanuel | 0.027 | 0.028 | 2.8% | 2028-11-07 | $211.1k |
Cross-venue
| buy | sell | edge | notional | resolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| poly 0.027 | kals 0.034 | 0.47c | $15.59 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: Polymarket includes a clause that replac… |
| poly 0.027 | kals 0.034 | 0.47c | $16.09 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: Polymarket includes a clause that replac… |
| poly 0.027 | kals 0.034 | 0.47c | $16.15 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: Polymarket includes a clause that replac… |
| poly 0.026 | kals 0.035 | 0.66c | $0.67 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: Polymarket includes a clause that replac… |
| poly 0.026 | kals 0.034 | 0.57c | $0.70 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: Polymarket includes a clause that replac… |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Republican Party — https://gop.com/
- Democratic Party — https://democrats.org/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
Recent activity
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