2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Ruben Gallego
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $18.1k traded · market at 0.4%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Ruben Gallego | 0.004 | 0.005 | 0.4% | 2028-11-07 | $18.1k |
Cross-venue
| buy | sell | edge | notional | resolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| poly 0.002 | kals 0.004 | 0.17c | $61.72 | diverges/medium [source]: Polymarket explicitly uses a consensus of of… |
| poly 0.002 | kals 0.004 | 0.17c | $63.76 | diverges/medium [source]: Polymarket explicitly uses a consensus of of… |
| poly 0.002 | kals 0.004 | 0.17c | $63.88 | diverges/medium [source]: Polymarket explicitly uses a consensus of of… |
| poly 0.002 | kals 0.004 | 0.17c | $64.05 | diverges/medium [source]: Polymarket explicitly uses a consensus of of… |
| poly 0.002 | kals 0.004 | 0.17c | $64.07 | diverges/medium [source]: Polymarket explicitly uses a consensus of of… |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Republican Party — https://gop.com/
- Democratic Party — https://democrats.org/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
Recent activity
- volume spike 7h ago