2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Zohran Mamdani
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $19.3k traded · market at 0.1%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Zohran Mamdani | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.1% | 2028-11-07 | $19.3k |
Cross-venue
| buy | sell | edge | notional | resolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| kals 0.002 | poly 0.003 | 0.09c | $964.18 | diverges/medium [source]: Polymarket explicitly requires a consensus o… |
| kals 0.002 | poly 0.003 | 0.09c | $964.18 | diverges/medium [source]: Polymarket explicitly requires a consensus o… |
| kals 0.002 | poly 0.003 | 0.09c | $964.36 | diverges/medium [source]: Polymarket explicitly requires a consensus o… |
| kals 0.002 | poly 0.003 | 0.09c | $964.52 | diverges/medium [source]: Polymarket explicitly requires a consensus o… |
| kals 0.002 | poly 0.003 | 0.09c | $964.39 | diverges/medium [source]: Polymarket explicitly requires a consensus o… |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Republican Party — https://gop.com/
- Democratic Party — https://democrats.org/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
Recent activity
- volume spike 5h ago
- volume spike 1d ago
- volume spike 2d ago
- volume spike 2d ago