polyrag

2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party) — Republican party

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $132.6k traded · market at 42%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi 2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party) — Republican party 0.410 0.420 42% 2029-11-07 $132.6k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

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