polyrag

2028 Republican presidential nominee — Donald J. Trump

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $188.9k traded · market at 2.2%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi 2028 Republican presidential nominee — Donald J. Trump 0.021 0.023 2.2% 2028-11-07 $108.9k
kalshi 2028 Republican presidential nominee — Donald J. Trump Jr. 0.027 0.028 2.8% 2028-11-07 $83.0k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.

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