polyrag

2028 Republican presidential nominee — Eric Trump

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $4.5k traded · market at 0.4%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi 2028 Republican presidential nominee — Eric Trump 0.003 0.004 0.4% 2028-11-07 $4.5k

Cross-venue

buyselledgenotionalresolution
poly 0.002 kals 0.003 0.08c $4.98 unknown/high [none]: unparseable adjudication

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.