2028 Republican presidential nominee — Marco Rubio
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $906.0k traded · market at 16%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | 2028 Republican presidential nominee — Marco Rubio | 0.160 | 0.170 | 16% | 2028-11-07 | $906.0k |
Cross-venue
| buy | sell | edge | notional | resolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| poly 0.188 | kals 0.200 | 0.08c | $0.16 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: Polymarket explicitly states that any re… |
| poly 0.188 | kals 0.200 | 0.08c | $0.16 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: Polymarket explicitly states that any re… |
| poly 0.188 | kals 0.200 | 0.08c | $0.33 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: Polymarket explicitly states that any re… |
| poly 0.185 | kals 0.200 | 0.38c | $1.67 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: Polymarket explicitly states that any re… |
| poly 0.175 | kals 0.200 | 1.38c | $29.45 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: Polymarket explicitly states that any re… |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Republican Party — https://gop.com/
- Democratic Party — https://democrats.org/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
Recent activity
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