2028 Republican presidential nominee — Pete Hegseth
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $8.3k traded · market at 0.5%
loading price history…
What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | 2028 Republican presidential nominee — Pete Hegseth | 0.005 | 0.006 | 0.5% | 2028-11-07 | $8.3k |
Cross-venue
| buy | sell | edge | notional | resolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| poly 0.006 | kals 0.010 | 0.33c | $3.44 | diverges/medium [source]: Polymarket's rule explicitly binds resolutio… |
| poly 0.005 | kals 0.010 | 0.43c | $1.51 | diverges/medium [source]: Polymarket's rule explicitly binds resolutio… |
| poly 0.005 | kals 0.010 | 0.43c | $1.88 | diverges/medium [source]: Polymarket's rule explicitly binds resolutio… |
| poly 0.005 | kals 0.010 | 0.43c | $10.48 | diverges/medium [source]: Polymarket's rule explicitly binds resolutio… |
| poly 0.005 | kals 0.010 | 0.43c | $10.47 | diverges/medium [source]: Polymarket's rule explicitly binds resolutio… |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Republican Party — https://gop.com/
- Democratic Party — https://democrats.org/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
Recent activity
- volume spike 17h ago