2028 Republican presidential nominee — Steve Bannon
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $1.8k traded · market at 0.2%
loading price history…
What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | 2028 Republican presidential nominee — Steve Bannon | 0.002 | 0.003 | 0.2% | 2028-11-07 | $1.8k |
Cross-venue
| buy | sell | edge | notional | resolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| poly 0.004 | kals 0.210 | 19.44c | $197.30 | implausible spread — near-certain mis-match |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Republican Party — https://gop.com/
- Democratic Party — https://democrats.org/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.