2028 Republican presidential nominee — Ted Cruz
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $51.8k traded · market at 2.1%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | 2028 Republican presidential nominee — Ted Cruz | 0.021 | 0.022 | 2.1% | 2028-11-07 | $51.8k |
Cross-venue
| buy | sell | edge | notional | resolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| poly 0.016 | kals 0.018 | 0.08c | $0.03 | diverges/medium [source]: Polymarket requires a consensus of official … |
| poly 0.016 | kals 0.019 | 0.17c | $0.01 | diverges/medium [source]: Polymarket requires a consensus of official … |
| poly 0.015 | kals 0.018 | 0.18c | $0.18 | diverges/medium [source]: Polymarket requires a consensus of official … |
| poly 0.014 | kals 0.017 | 0.18c | $0.26 | diverges/medium [source]: Polymarket requires a consensus of official … |
| poly 0.014 | kals 0.017 | 0.18c | $0.42 | diverges/medium [source]: Polymarket requires a consensus of official … |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Republican Party — https://gop.com/
- Democratic Party — https://democrats.org/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
Recent activity
- volume spike 5h ago
- volume spike 2d ago