2028 Republican presidential nominee — Thomas Massie
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $38.1k traded · market at 0.9%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | 2028 Republican presidential nominee — Thomas Massie | 0.009 | 0.010 | 0.9% | 2028-11-07 | $38.1k |
Cross-venue
| buy | sell | edge | notional | resolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| poly 0.007 | kals 0.010 | 0.23c | $39.29 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: Polymarket explicitly states that any re… |
| poly 0.007 | kals 0.010 | 0.23c | $39.37 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: Polymarket explicitly states that any re… |
| poly 0.007 | kals 0.010 | 0.23c | $39.37 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: Polymarket explicitly states that any re… |
| poly 0.007 | kals 0.010 | 0.23c | $39.37 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: Polymarket explicitly states that any re… |
| poly 0.007 | kals 0.010 | 0.23c | $39.74 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: Polymarket explicitly states that any re… |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Republican Party — https://gop.com/
- Democratic Party — https://democrats.org/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
Recent activity
- volume spike 11h ago
- volume spike 1d ago
- volume spike 1d ago