2028 Republican presidential nominee — Tucker Carlson
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $116.8k traded · market at 2.6%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | 2028 Republican presidential nominee — Tucker Carlson | 0.025 | 0.027 | 2.6% | 2028-11-07 | $116.8k |
Cross-venue
| buy | sell | edge | notional | resolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| kals 0.028 | poly 0.031 | 0.11c | $1.11 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: Polymarket explicitly states that replac… |
| kals 0.027 | poly 0.031 | 0.22c | $0.02 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: Polymarket explicitly states that replac… |
| kals 0.026 | poly 0.031 | 0.32c | $0.00 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: Polymarket explicitly states that replac… |
| kals 0.025 | poly 0.031 | 0.43c | $0.04 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: Polymarket explicitly states that replac… |
| kals 0.025 | poly 0.031 | 0.43c | $0.04 | diverges/medium [withdrawal]: Polymarket explicitly states that replac… |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Republican Party — https://gop.com/
- Democratic Party — https://democrats.org/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
Recent activity
- volume spike 9h ago
- volume spike 1d ago
- volume spike 2d ago