2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Josh Shapiro
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $54.5k traded · market at 2.8%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Josh Shapiro | 0.027 | 0.028 | 2.8% | 2029-11-07 | $54.5k |
Cross-venue
| buy | sell | edge | notional | resolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| kals 0.028 | poly 0.030 | 0.01c | $4.46 | diverges/medium [office]: Kalshi's rule is based on who is inaugurated… |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Office of the Presidency — https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/executive-office-o
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
Recent activity
- volume spike 2d ago
- volume spike 2d ago
- volume spike 2d ago