polyrag

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Kamala Harris

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $122.6k traded · market at 4.0%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Kamala Harris 0.040 0.041 4.0% 2029-11-07 $122.6k

Cross-venue

buyselledgenotionalresolution
poly 0.036 kals 0.042 0.32c $1.60 diverges/low [different_event]:

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.

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