2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Mark Kelly
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $76.9k traded · market at 3.0%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Mark Kelly | 0.030 | 0.031 | 3.0% | 2029-11-07 | $76.9k |
Cross-venue
| buy | sell | edge | notional | resolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| poly 0.019 | kals 0.034 | 1.27c | $0.13 | diverges/high [office]: Polymarket resolves based on the candidate cal… |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Office of the Presidency — https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/executive-office-o
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
Recent activity
- volume spike 15h ago
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