2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Ro Khanna
kalshi · 2 contracts · 2 deadlines · $5.8k traded · market at 6.5%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Ro Khanna | — | 0.010 | 1.0% | 2029-11-07 | $5.8k |
| kalshi | Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election? — Ro Khanna | 0.020 | 0.110 | 6.5% | 2028-03-01 | — |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
Cross-venue
| buy | sell | edge | notional | resolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| poly 0.010 | kals 0.040 | 2.73c | $177.26 | diverges/high [different_event]: The two resolution rules describe ent… |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Office of the Presidency — https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/executive-office-o
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.