2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Ron DeSantis
kalshi polymarket · 3 contracts · 3 deadlines · $73.3k traded · market at 2.8%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Ron DeSantis | 0.027 | 0.028 | 2.8% | 2029-11-07 | $73.0k |
| polymarket | Will Donald Trump endorse Ron DeSantis in the 2028 US Presidential election? | 0.002 | 0.009 | 0.5% | 2028-11-06 expected | $302 |
| kalshi | Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election? — Ron DeSantis | 0.010 | 0.030 | 2.0% | 2028-03-01 | $82 |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
Cross-venue
| buy | sell | edge | notional | resolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| poly 0.015 | kals 0.033 | 1.58c | $35.74 | diverges/medium [office]: Polymarket resolves to the winner of the ele… |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Office of the Presidency — https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/executive-office-o
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
Recent activity
- volume spike 1d ago
- volume spike 1d ago