polyrag

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Wes Moore

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $37.7k traded · market at 1.3%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Wes Moore 0.011 0.015 1.3% 2029-11-07 $37.7k

Cross-venue

buyselledgenotionalresolution
poly 0.010 kals 0.013 0.21c $17.63 diverges/medium [office]: Polymarket resolves to the candidate who win…

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.

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