polyrag

2030 Mexico Presidential election winner? (Party) — Morena

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $0 traded · market at 57%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi 2030 Mexico Presidential election winner? (Party) — Morena 0.570 0.580 57% 2031-06-02 —

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.