polyrag

Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo — Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House

kalshi · 3 contracts · 1 deadline · $1.1k traded · market at 54%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo — Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republica 0.500 0.580 54% 2027-11-03 $1.1k
kalshi Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo — Democrats win House & Senate; Republican w — 0.010 1.0% 2027-11-03 $13
kalshi Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo — Democrats win House & Governor; Republican — 0.010 1.0% 2027-11-03 $12

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.