polyrag

Alaska House winner? — Democratic party

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $316 traded · market at 0.7%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Alaska House winner? — Democratic party 0.004 0.009 0.7% 2027-11-03 $261
kalshi Alaska State House winner? — Democratic party 0.230 0.270 25% 2027-11-03 $55

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

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