polyrag

Alaska House winner? — Republican party

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $29.3k traded · market at 88%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Alaska House winner? — Republican party 0.870 0.880 88% 2027-11-03 $27.9k
kalshi Alaska State House winner? — Republican party 0.690 0.700 70% 2027-11-03 $1.3k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.