polyrag

Arizona Governor election: Andy Biggs vote percent — At least 46%

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $76 traded · market at 36%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Arizona Governor election: Andy Biggs vote percent — At least 46% 0.320 0.410 36% 2027-11-03 $76
kalshi Arizona Governor election: Katie Hobbs vote percent — At least 46% 0.950 — 0% 2027-11-03 —

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.

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