Arkansas Lieutenant Governor winner? — Michael Kalagias
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $0 traded · market at 3.0%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Arkansas Lieutenant Governor winner? — Michael Kalagias | 0.010 | 0.050 | 3.0% | 2027-11-03 | — |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Arkansas Secretary of State — https://www.sos.arkansas.gov/
- Logan County Election Commission — https://www.logancoarcbec.gov/election-information
Recent activity
- price move 43m ago -0.315
- price move 53m ago +0.315